Skip to main content
MFCManulife Financial CorporationSell6.3·$38.86-0.08%
Open full analysis

Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.86 — A.R:R is negative (-4.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

Manulife Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management Businesses; Insurance and Annuity Products; and Corporate and Other... Read more

$38.86+0.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 15 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.42%
IncomeYield3.45%(5y avg 4.61%)Payout52.02%sustainable
Stop $37.34Target $39.22(resistance)A.R:R -4.4:1
Analyst target$34.10-12.3%2 analysts
$39.22our TP
$38.86price
$34.10mean
$31

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.86 — A.R:R is negative (-4.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$64.8B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn20.0%
ROE12.6%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta0.78
Dividend3.45%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -4.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.62Resistance $40.02

Price Targets

$37
$39
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.86 — A.R:R is negative (-4.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $37.34. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.22 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $37.34. Stop-loss: $37.34.

What are the risks of investing in MFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is MFC overvalued or undervalued?

Manulife Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MFC?

19 analysts cover MFC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Manulife Financial Corporation do?Manulife Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United...

Manulife Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management Businesses; Insurance and Annuity Products; and Corporate and Other segments. The Wealth and Asset Management Businesses segment offers investment advice and solutions to retirement, retail, and institutional clients through multiple distribution channels, including agents and brokers affiliated with the company, independent securities brokerage firms and financial advisors pension plan consultants, and banks. The Insurance and Annuity Products segment provides deposit and credit products; and individual life insurance, individual and group long-term care insurance, and guaranteed and partially guaranteed annuity products through multiple distribution channels, including insurance agents, brokers, banks, financial planners, and direct marketing. The Corporate and Other segment is involved in the property and casualty reinsurance businesses; and run-off reinsurance operations, including variable annuities, and accident and health. The company also manages timberland and agricultural portfolios; and engages in the insurance agency, broker dealer, investment counseling, portfolio and mutual fund management, property and casualty insurance, and fund and investment management businesses. In addition, it provides integrated banking products and services, as well as offers asset management services. The company was incorporated in 1887 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: AFL (AFLAC Incorporated) · PRI (Primerica, Inc.) · PUK (Prudential Public Limited Compa) · LNC (Lincoln National Corporation) · GL (Globe Life Inc.)
Home Stocks MFC

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus34d agoEarnings
AD HOC NEWS34d agoEarnings
MarketBeat37d ago
Traders Union35d ago
MarketBeat35d ago
TipRanks36d ago
Benzinga32d agoEarnings
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga33d agoEarnings