Skip to main content
UMCUnited Microelectronics CorporaHold6.0·$18.04
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United Microelectronics Corporation has beaten or met earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of 28%, carries strong margins of 21% and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, but trades at essentially zero upside to resistance and negative asymmetry, leaving no room for a favorable entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Piotroski Quality↑Improving
  • Earnings Beats With Large Surprises→Stable
  • Price At Resistance Zero Upside↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United Microelectronics Corpora (UMC) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer... Read more

$18.04-21.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#25 of 53 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield99.11%
IncomeYield2.13%(5y avg 4.72%)Payout37.46%sustainable
Stop $17.00Analyst target $14.16(reached)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst consensus$16.65-7.7%4 analysts
$18.04price
$16.65mean
$11
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 27, 202789d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$45.2B
EV/EBITDA-0.2
Profit Mgn31.9%
ROE20.4%
Rev Growth25.6%
Beta—
Dividend2.13%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C4.80bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$14-22.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.8
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 18)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.51%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
18 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.53Resistance $26.36

Price Targets

A.Upside-21.5%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.5% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-27 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $14.16 reached (−21.5%), stop $17.00 (−6.1%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMC stock price target?

Analyst target $14.16 reached (−21.5% from $18.04); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $14.16 reached (−21.5%), stop $17.00 (−6.1%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Stop-loss: $17.00.

What are the risks of investing in UMC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is UMC overvalued or undervalued?

United Microelectronics Corpora trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UMC?

31 analysts cover UMC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $17.

What does United Microelectronics Corpora do?United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan,...

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer fabrication; and assembly and testing services for communication devices, consumer electronics, computer, and other applications. It also provides venture capital and marketing support; consulting and planning; energy technical; solar engineering integrated design; research and development services; and insurance services. United Microelectronics Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · MRVL (Marvell Technology, Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › UMC

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat93d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha93d ago
Benzinga93d ago
Reuters93d agoProduct
MSN184d ago
Moomoo184d agoEarnings
StocksToTrade184d ago
Timothysykes.com184d ago
MarketBeat184d ago
AlphaStreet184d agoEarnings
AD HOC NEWS184d ago
TipRanks184d ago
Investing.com184d agoEarnings
Investing.com184d ago
Stock Titan184d ago
Reuters184d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance184d ago
Investing.com Nigeria2d ago
Benzinga2d ago
Investing.com India2d agoEarnings
Loading more...