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UMCUnited Microelectronics CorporaSell5.2·$21.65+4.69%
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United Microelectronics Corpora (UMC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.65 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer... Read more

$21.65+7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#26 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield63.29%
IncomeYield2.23%(5y avg 5.84%)Payout71.45%
Stop $20.12Target $23.22(resistance)A.R:R -3.9:1
Analyst target$10.36-52.1%5 analysts
$23.22our TP
$21.65price
$10.36mean
$7

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.65 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.9
P/E (Fwd)26.9
Mkt Cap$54.3B
EV/EBITDA-0.0
Profit Mgn20.8%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta1.59
Dividend2.23%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.38bearish
IV114%elevated
Max Pain$35+61.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
0.4
Llm Sentiment
4.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst target

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.6
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -3.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.84Resistance $23.69

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R-3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-58.3% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.65 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.12. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.22 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $20.12. Stop-loss: $20.12.

What are the risks of investing in UMC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is UMC overvalued or undervalued?

United Microelectronics Corpora trades at a P/E of 34.9 (forward 26.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UMC?

32 analysts cover UMC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $10.

What does United Microelectronics Corpora do?United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan,...

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer fabrication; and assembly and testing services for communication devices, consumer electronics, computer, and other applications. It also provides venture capital and marketing support; consulting and planning; energy technical; solar engineering integrated design; research and development services; and insurance services. United Microelectronics Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ADI (Analog Devices, Inc.) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporat)
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