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UHTUniversal Health Realty Income Sell5.3·$43.70-1.35%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Universal Health Realty is a high-quality REIT with strong cash conversion, but its analyst target has already been reached near the 52-week high, leverage is elevated, and the asymmetry gate has failed, pointing toward reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash ConversionStable
  • Analyst Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • Leverage Penalty RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Universal Health Realty Income (UHT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5.

Universal Health Realty Income Trust is a healthcare-focused REIT that owns 77 real estate investments across 21 states, including acute care hospitals, behavioral health hospitals, free-standing emergency departments, medical office buildings, and childcare centers. The trust... Read more

$43.70+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#10 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.57%
IncomeYield6.82%(5y avg 6.46%)Payout232.03%
Stop $40.74Target $45.37(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$42.00-3.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Universal Health Realty Income

About Universal Health Realty Income

Universal Health Realty Income Trust holds 77 real estate investments across 21 states, anchored by six hospital facilities — three acute care and three behavioral health — leased to subsidiaries of Universal Health Services. UHS-affiliated tenants generated approximately 40% of the trust's consolidated revenue in 2025, with the six UHS hospital leases alone contributing about 24% of revenue. The portfolio also includes medical office buildings, free-standing emergency departments, and childcare centers spanning states such as Texas, Florida, and Nevada.

The trust earns revenue through long-term net leases on hospitals, medical office buildings, and free-standing emergency departments, with the six UHS hospital leases unconditionally guaranteed by UHS and cross-defaulted with one another, plus bonus rent on McAllen Medical Center tied to the hospital's quarterly revenue. Lease escalators on the UHS hospital portfolio compound annually at rates ranging from 2% to 2.75% depending on the property. The trust is externally managed: UHS of Delaware, Inc., a wholly owned UHS subsidiary, serves as Advisor under an agreement dating to 1986, and the trust's officers are all employees of that UHS subsidiary rather than direct hires. Growth comes from ground-up medical office development on hospital campuses, including an approximately $34 million Palm Beach Gardens, Florida project master-leased 75% to a UHS subsidiary, and the recently completed approximately $35 million Sierra Medical Plaza I in Reno, Nevada.

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Because UHS operates the trust's most significant hospital assets and also serves as its external Advisor, the trust's dependency on a single counterparty runs deeper than typical REIT tenant concentration. The 10-K flags that UHS and its subsidiaries face pending legal actions, government investigations, and stockholder litigation, and directs investors to UHS's own SEC filings for details since those matters could affect UHS's ability to make lease payments. UHS also holds purchase options on several hospital properties exercisable at fair market value upon lease expiration or a change of control of the trust, a structural feature that could shrink the portfolio if UHS chooses to buy out leased facilities rather than renew.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

From Universal Health Realty Income 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.6
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$615M
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn17.7%
ROE11.2%
Rev Growth0.3%
Beta0.85
Dividend6.82%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV101%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Earnings Growth
3.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.1
Value Rank
4.8
Quality Rank
7.2
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.02Resistance $46.30

Price Targets

$41
$45
A.Upside+3.8%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UHT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $40.74. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the UHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.37 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $40.74. Stop-loss: $40.74.

What are the risks of investing in UHT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is UHT overvalued or undervalued?

Universal Health Realty Income trades at a P/E of 34.6 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UHT?

8 analysts cover UHT with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Universal Health Realty Income do?Universal Health Realty Income Trust is a healthcare-focused REIT that owns 77 real estate investments across 21...

Universal Health Realty Income Trust is a healthcare-focused REIT that owns 77 real estate investments across 21 states, including acute care hospitals, behavioral health hospitals, free-standing emergency departments, medical office buildings, and childcare centers. The trust earns revenue primarily from long-term property leases, with tenants affiliated with Universal Health Services, Inc. accounting for approximately 40% of consolidated revenue in 2025; a UHS subsidiary also serves as the trust's external Advisor.

Related stocks: SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · CHCT (Community Healthcare Trust Inco) · XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) · NHI (National Health Investors, Inc.)
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