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UAAUnder Armour, Inc.Sell4.9·$5.82+2.11%
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Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.82: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality.

Under Armour develops and markets branded performance apparel (67%), footwear (23%), and accessories (8%) for athletes globally, with North America (~60% of fiscal 2025 net revenues) as the primary market. Products are sold via wholesale (58%) and direct-to-consumer (40%)... Read more

$5.82+2.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#12 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-21.73%
Stop $5.42Target $5.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$6.28+7.9%19 analysts
$5.98our TP
$5.82price
$6.28mean
$4
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.82: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11

Recent Developments — Under Armour, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: top-10 apparel/accessories manufacturers (69.0%)
Target reached (-2.9% upside)
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.5
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn-10.0%
ROE-30.0%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta1.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$10+71.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliertop-10 apparel/accessories manufacturers69%
    10-K Item 1A: 'ten manufacturers produced approximately 69% of our apparel and accessories products, and nine produced substantially all of our footwear products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Reza Taleghani joined as EVP, Chief Financial Officer effective February 11, 2026, replacing David Bergman as principal financial officer. Bergman remains as a senior advisor for a transition period.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.0
Moat
3.2
Operating Margin
3.5
Gross Margin
5.1
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
5.9
Cash-burning: FCF -11% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.2
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
4.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
7.7
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.88Resistance $6.10

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UAA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.82: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.42. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UAA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.98 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $5.42. Stop-loss: $5.42.

What are the risks of investing in UAA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: top-10 apparel/accessories manufacturers (69.0%); Target reached (-2.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is UAA overvalued or undervalued?

Under Armour, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UAA?

33 analysts cover UAA with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Under Armour, Inc. do?Under Armour develops and markets branded performance apparel (67%), footwear (23%), and accessories (8%) for athletes...

Under Armour develops and markets branded performance apparel (67%), footwear (23%), and accessories (8%) for athletes globally, with North America (~60% of fiscal 2025 net revenues) as the primary market. Products are sold via wholesale (58%) and direct-to-consumer (40%) channels; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues, and 10 manufacturers produced ~69% of apparel and accessories products.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation)
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