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TXTTextron Inc.Sell5.4·$91.43+0.38%
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Textron Inc. (TXT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $91.43 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Textron is a multi-industry holding company with aircraft (Textron Aviation: Cessna/Beechcraft), Bell helicopters, defense systems (Textron Systems), industrial products (Kautex automotive fuel systems, Textron Specialized Vehicles), and captive finance, generating $14.8B... Read more

$91.43+1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#24 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.91%
IncomeYield0.09%(5y avg 0.10%)Payout1.53%sustainable
Stop $87.37Target $93.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$103.45+13.1%16 analysts
$93.11our TP
$91.43price
$103.45mean
$115

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $91.43 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$15.9B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth11.8%
Beta0.91
Dividend0.09%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.11bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$43-53.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, we derived approximately 27% of our revenues from sales to a variety of U.S. Government entities.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.83Resistance $93.62

Price Targets

$87
$93
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TXT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $91.43 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $87.37. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.11 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $87.37. Stop-loss: $87.37.

What are the risks of investing in TXT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is TXT overvalued or undervalued?

Textron Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TXT?

23 analysts cover TXT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $103.

What does Textron Inc. do?Textron is a multi-industry holding company with aircraft (Textron Aviation: Cessna/Beechcraft), Bell helicopters,...

Textron is a multi-industry holding company with aircraft (Textron Aviation: Cessna/Beechcraft), Bell helicopters, defense systems (Textron Systems), industrial products (Kautex automotive fuel systems, Textron Specialized Vehicles), and captive finance, generating $14.8B revenue in 2025. Approximately 27% of revenues come from U.S. Government contracts primarily in Bell and Textron Systems, with Bell's MV-75 program representing a significant and growing share of that U.S. Government backlog.

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