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LCLNLincoln International, Inc.Hold6.7·$21.59-3.85%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln International is a genuinely high-quality, cheaply-valued business, but with the stock near its 52-week high and analyst target already reached, the engine's negative asymmetry reading argues the easy gains are behind it.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality MarginsStable
  • Valuation Already Priced InStable
  • Negative Asymmetry Leverage PenaltyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln International, Inc. (LCLN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Lincoln International, Inc. operates as an independent investment banking advisory firm focuses on the private capital markets in United States and Internationally. The company operates through two segments: Investment Banking Advisory and Valuations and Opinions. The investment... Read more

$21.59+9.9% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#7 of 49 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $20.53Target $23.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$27.21+26.1%7 analysts
$23.68our TP
$21.59price
$27.21mean
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.9%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$743M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.0%
ROE
Rev Growth19.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.3
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $21.17Resistance $25.30

Price Targets

$21
$24
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for LCLN.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCLN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $23.68 (+9.7%), stop $20.53 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LCLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.68 (+9.9% upside). Target $23.68 (+9.7%), stop $20.53 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $20.53.

What are the risks of investing in LCLN?

Thin upside margin: 9.9%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum.

Is LCLN overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln International, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LCLN?

13 analysts cover LCLN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Lincoln International, Inc. do?Lincoln International, Inc. operates as an independent investment banking advisory firm focuses on the private capital...

Lincoln International, Inc. operates as an independent investment banking advisory firm focuses on the private capital markets in United States and Internationally. The company operates through two segments: Investment Banking Advisory and Valuations and Opinions. The investment Banking Advisory segment provides capital advisory, such as debt advisory, special situations and restructuring, and growth/minority equity; private funds advisory, includes structured / continuation vehicles, single asset vehicles, primary funds, and co-investment vehicles. The Valuations and Opinions segment provides portfolio valuations, transaction opinions and board advisory, disputes advisory services to alternative asset managers includes private equity firms, private credit firms, mutual funds, insurance companies, banks, infrastructure firms, hedge funds, and institutional investors; In addition it also provides financial advice to general partners, boards of directors, special committees, investors, trustees, and other corporate decision-makers at both public and private companies; other services, such as strategic consulting, an executive peer exchange called Connect, which fosters connection and mentorship among leaders within the insurance and wealth sectors, and an agency member network, FirstChoice, which provides members direct insurance carrier access, strategic business planning, advanced technology services, and a education platform. It also develops a platform to support clients in attracting capital and investing with purpose, driving value, and realizing returns. It serves Business Services, Consumer, Healthcare, Industrials, and Technology sectors. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

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