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TWTradeweb Markets Inc.Hold6.3·$102.53+1.92%
TW · Why this verdict

Why Tradeweb Markets (TW) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

5.2/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E5.0
P/S3.2
Fwd P/E5.7
PEG4.5
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 22.4x
  • PEG: 2.02

Quality

8.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.7
ROA8.4
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio7.1
Moat6.9
Piotroski F8.9
  • Strong margins: 40%
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
  • High-quality business

Growth

8.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth7.8
EPS growth9.8
  • Strong growth: 21% YoY

Momentum

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD3.7
OBV10.0
MA position1.0
Volume4.8
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

8.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment8.5
Analyst rating7.2
Price target8.8
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.70 (n=1)
  • Analyst upside: 33%

Insider

3.9/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality4.5
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.1
  • Modest insider selling — $6,822,879 (0.031% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.6/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.2
quality rank6.2
growth rank5.1
  • Best-in-class margins

Technical

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.4
support resistance5.6
52w position3.8

Risk (lower is worse)

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.7
days to cover8.7
volatility4.4
put call0.0
implied vol4.7
beta9.3
debt equity3.1
  • Elevated put/call: 10.86

Catalyst

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg4.7
dividend safety7.0
news activity5.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Dividend: 55.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (8)
  • MOMENTUM:4.6>=4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:1.9>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
1.90
Upside
+15.3%
Downside
8.1%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:4.6>=4.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.8; weakest: Insider at 3.9. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.8, Quality at 8.2, and Sentiment at 8.1; the weakest are Insider at 3.9, Peer rank at 4.6, and Momentum at 4.6. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.90 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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