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TUYATuya Inc.Hold6.2·$2.01-8.64%
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Tuya Inc. (TUYA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Tuya Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) cloud platform services in the People's Republic of China. Its AI cloud developer platform delivers a suite of offerings, including platform-as-a-service (PaaS), software-as-a-service (SaaS), and smart solutions to developers of... Read more

$2.01+44.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#16 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.72%
IncomeYield5.70%Payout114.50%at-risk
Stop $1.87Target $2.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$3.42+70.0%4 analysts
$2.90our TP
$2.01price
$3.42mean
$4

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 45%
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn19.1%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.42
Dividend5.70%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.82bearish
Max Pain$2-0.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.87Resistance $2.23

Price Targets

$2
$3
A.Upside+44.3%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts10
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$3

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TUYA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $2.90 (+44.3%), stop $1.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TUYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2.90 (+44.3% upside). Target $2.90 (+44.3%), stop $1.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Stop-loss: $1.87.

What are the risks of investing in TUYA?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TUYA overvalued or undervalued?

Tuya Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TUYA?

10 analysts cover TUYA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Tuya Inc. do?Tuya Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) cloud platform services in the People's Republic of China. Its AI cloud...

Tuya Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) cloud platform services in the People's Republic of China. Its AI cloud developer platform delivers a suite of offerings, including platform-as-a-service (PaaS), software-as-a-service (SaaS), and smart solutions to developers of smart device, commercial applications, and industries. The company's PaaS offering enables original equipment manufacturers and brands, and developers to develop, launch, manage, and monetize software-enabled smart devices and services. Its SaaS offering enables businesses to deploy, connect, and manage smart devices in various vertical scenarios for spatial intelligence and cloud-based software value-added services to build their own autonomous and controllable smart business platforms. Its solutions include cube private cloud, smart hospitality, smart residential, commercial lighting, and smart house and real estate. The company also offers a range of other cloud-based value-added services to enhance their ability to develop and manage IoT experiences for businesses, developers, and end users. In addition, it provides smart solutions for smart devices integrated with AI and intelligent software capabilities. The company serves brands, original equipment manufacturers, industry operators, and system integrators across a range of industry verticals, such as smart home and business, renewable energy, education, agriculture, outdoors and sport, and entertainment. Tuya Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

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