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TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.Hold5.2·$263.00+1.80%
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Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $263.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5.

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho,... Read more

$263.00+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#24 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.41%
Stop $244.52Target $273.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$313.83+19.3%6 analysts
$273.04our TP
$263.00price
$313.83mean
$335

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $263.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)121.7
P/E (Fwd)45.8
Mkt Cap$31.3B
EV/EBITDA52.5
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV105%elevated
Max Pain$410+55.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.0
Peg Ratio
1.0
Forward Pe
2.5
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 45.8xPEG: 7.58Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
5.2
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $209.84Resistance $302.86

Price Targets

$245
$273
A.Upside+3.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSEM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $263.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $273.04 (+3.8%), stop $244.52 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the TSEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $273.04 (+3.8% upside). Target $273.04 (+3.8%), stop $244.52 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $244.52.

What are the risks of investing in TSEM?

Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5; Expensive valuation.

Is TSEM overvalued or undervalued?

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. trades at a P/E of 121.7 (forward 45.8). TrendMatrix value score: 1.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TSEM?

11 analysts cover TSEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $314.

What does Tower Semiconductor Ltd. do?Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms...

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho, mixed signal CMOS, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensor, non-imaging sensors, wafers, and integrated power management. It also offers a design enablement platform for a design cycle, as well as transfer optimization and development process services to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies. The company serves consumer applications, personal computers, communications, handsets and smartphones, automotive, industrial, aerospace, and medical devices. Tower Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Migdal Haemek, Israel

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