Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1273.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Expensive valuation.
TransDigm Group designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered proprietary aircraft components for commercial and military aircraft worldwide, with ~90% of net sales from proprietary products and ~55% from aftermarket channels in fiscal 2025, across Power & Control, Airframe,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1273.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Transdigm Group Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG): Stephen Mandel Continues Bullish Stance - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Is TDG Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $724 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Transdigm Group (TDG) Expected to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Artemis Investment Management LLP Sells 33,537 Shares of Transdigm Group Incorporated $TDG - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS At US$1,148, Is TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) Worth Looking At Closely? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop-10 customers40%10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers for fiscal year 2025 accounted for approximately 40% of our net sales.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1273.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1371.60 (+7.7%), stop $1200.71 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $1371.60 (+7.6% upside). Target $1371.60 (+7.7%), stop $1200.71 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $1200.71.
Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Expensive valuation; Below 200-day MA.
Transdigm Group Incorporated trades at a P/E of 39.2 (forward 26.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
27 analysts cover TDG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $1524.
What does Transdigm Group Incorporated do?TransDigm Group designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered proprietary aircraft components for commercial and...
TransDigm Group designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered proprietary aircraft components for commercial and military aircraft worldwide, with ~90% of net sales from proprietary products and ~55% from aftermarket channels in fiscal 2025, across Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-aviation segments. No single customer exceeded 10% of net sales; the top 10 customers collectively accounted for approximately 40% of net sales.