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STTState Street CorporationHold6.5·$173.54
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

State Street has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with a 4.5% average surprise, but trades above its analyst price target with a put/call ratio of 7.97 signaling unusually heavy bearish options activity, and revenue declined 3% year-over-year, clouding the near-term outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio↓Deteriorating
  • Revenue Decline Quality Concerns→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

State Street Corporation (STT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $173.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to institutional investors globally through two lines of business. Revenue is generated from custody, fund administration, foreign exchange, and asset management... Read more

$173.54-0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#27 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.15%(5y avg 2.85%)Payout29.63%sustainable
Stop $164.10Analyst target $173.07(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$192.30+10.8%15 analysts
$173.54price
$192.30mean
$152
$230

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $173.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jan 15, 202778d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$47.3B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.8%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth13.3%
Beta1.42
Dividend2.15%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAmericas
    10-K Item 1: 'we serviced AUC/A of approximately $53.80 trillion, comprising approximately $37.42 trillion in the Americas'
  • LOWProductinvestment securities portfolio17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The gross interest income associated with our investment portfolio represented approximately 17% of our total gross revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    State Street appointed C. Jack Read as EVP, Global Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective August 10, 2026, succeeding Elizabeth M. Schaefer. Read previously served as Global Controller at MSCI Inc. since August 2024.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    Board elected Susan Gordon as independent director on March 19, 2026, appointing her to the Examining and Audit Committee and Technology and Operations Committee. Routine board appointment; no departures disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $156.50Resistance $177.14

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-15 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $173.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $173.07 reached (−0.3%), stop $164.10 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STT stock price target?

Analyst target $173.07 reached (−0.3% from $173.54); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $173.07 reached (−0.3%), stop $164.10 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $164.10.

What are the risks of investing in STT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is STT overvalued or undervalued?

State Street Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STT?

20 analysts cover STT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $192.

What does State Street Corporation do?State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to...

State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to institutional investors globally through two lines of business. Revenue is generated from custody, fund administration, foreign exchange, and asset management fees, with $53.80 trillion in assets under custody and administration and $5.67 trillion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, served by approximately 52,000 employees.

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