STMicroelectronics has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average negative surprise of 34% and its quality score of 3.5 sits below the minimum threshold, while free cash flow is deeply negative at -245% of net income; the indicated price upside is also negative, making the fundamental and technical cases both weak.
Thesis pillars
- 23pct Revenue Growth Thesis→Stable
- Earnings Miss Streak 34pct Avg↑Improving
- Below Quality Floor Negative Fcf↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) Stock Analysis
Technology · Semiconductors
Wait for pullback to $45.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $48.52. Engine's entry $45.96 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power... Read more
Wait for pullback to $45.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $48.52. Engine's entry $45.96 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — STMicroelectronics N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS Is STMicroelectronics (STM) a Buy Heading Into Earnings? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: STMicroelectronics NV (XPAR:STMPA) Q3 2026 -- GF Value Sees 17% Downside - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS STMicroelectronics (NYSE:STM) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street neutral
- NEWS STMicroelectronics (OTCPK:STME.F) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street neutral
- NEWS STMicroelectronics Reports Q3 Revenue Beat, EPS Miss; STM Stock Reacts - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $45.96. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $48.52. Engine's entry $45.96 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $64.92 (+33.8%), stop $42.74 (−13.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $64.92 (+33.8% upside). Target $64.92 (+33.8%), stop $42.74 (−13.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $42.74.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.
STMicroelectronics N.V. trades at a P/E of 1213.0 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
26 analysts cover STM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $75.
What does STMicroelectronics N.V. do?STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor...
STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power and Discrete products (P&D); Embedded Processing (EMP); and RF Products (D&RF) segments. It offers industrial application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and application-specific standard products (ASSPs); power management solutions; custom analog ICs, wireless charging solutions; galvanic isolated gate and LED drivers; converters, transistors, intelligent power switches, clocks and timers, comparators, and current-sense amplifiers; micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) sensors, including accelerometers, gyroscopes, magnetic sensors, pressure, temperature, presence detection, biosensors, machine learning, and edge AI processing smart sensors, as well as thermal and piezoelectric actuators; and optical sensing solutions. The company also provides silicon MOSFETs, SiC MOSFETs, IGBTs, thyristors, rectifiers, and power modules and bipolar transistors; microcontrollers, and automotive microcontrollers and secured; radio frequency (RF) communications and ASICs; car infotainment products; ultra-wide band and radar systems; and Connected Security Products; and automotive driver assistance systems. It serves automotive, industrial, personal electronics and communications equipment, and computers and peripherals markets. STMicroelectronics N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Plan-les-Ouates, Switzerland.