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STCStewart Information Services CoSell6.5·$44.30
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Stewart Information Services has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat record with an average positive surprise of 26%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7x against 28% year-over-year revenue growth, and ranks as an industry growth leader, though it remains below its long-term moving average and its price target provides only narrow upside at current entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Piotroski Perfect Quality Moat↓Deteriorating
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Industry Growth Leader 28pct↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Stewart Information Services Co (STC) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.30: Consecutive earnings misses (2); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Stewart Information Services underwrites title insurance and provides real estate settlement services through direct operations and a network of independent agents in the U.S. and select international markets. Revenue comes from title insurance premiums and real estate solutions... Read more

$44.30+33.8% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#11 of 41 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.97%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout45.95%sustainable
Stop $41.38Analyst target $59.29(−15% haircut)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst consensus$69.75+57.4%4 analysts
$59.29Analyst target
$44.30price
$69.75mean
$75

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.30: Consecutive earnings misses (2); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Stewart Information Services Co

About Stewart Information Services Co

Stewart Information Services ranks among the top U.S. title insurance underwriters by statutory premiums for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, operating through three segments — title insurance, real estate solutions, and corporate — with approximately 7,800 employees, around 6,000 in the United States and 1,800 internationally. The company maintains regional offices in Australia, Canada, and the United Kingdom and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Principal underwriter Stewart Title Guaranty Company holds an 'A-' financial-strength rating from both Fitch Ratings and A.M. Best.

Stewart earns premiums when real estate transactions close, with the title segment generating one-time premiums per policy — written for lenders (required by most U.S. lenders as a condition of origination) and for property owners, covering losses from pre-existing title defects discovered after closing. The real estate solutions segment adds fee-based revenue through credit and data services, property preservation, valuation management, online notarization (NotaryCam), and search services delivered primarily to mortgage lenders and servicers. Major competitors — Fidelity National Financial (through Fidelity National Title and Chicago Title), First American, and Old Republic — each holds substantially greater gross revenues than Stewart, creating competition on service, technology, and scale for commercial and residential mandates. A significant share of title policies are issued through independent agents who operate with substantial independence from Stewart, creating an additional layer of underwriting execution risk.

Show full overview

Stewart's revenue is structurally tied to mortgage origination volumes, which the 10-K notes have historically been influenced by mortgage interest rates, inventory, affordability, availability of financing, and overall economic conditions. Title premiums are earned at individual transaction closings rather than under recurring contracts, providing no contractual revenue floor when housing activity contracts. The 10-K also flags that the first quarter is typically the least active period for title revenues, and the second and third quarters are most active, reinforcing the cyclical and transaction-dependent nature of the revenue stream.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

From Stewart Information Services Co's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202797d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE8.6%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta1.05
Dividend4.97%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 97d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.66Resistance $53.94

Price Targets

$41
$59
A.Upside+33.8%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (97d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.30: Consecutive earnings misses (2); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $41.38. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STC stock price target?

Analyst target: $59.29 (+33.8% upside). Prior stop was $41.38. Stop-loss: $41.38.

What are the risks of investing in STC?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is STC overvalued or undervalued?

Stewart Information Services Co trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STC?

10 analysts cover STC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Stewart Information Services Co do?Stewart Information Services underwrites title insurance and provides real estate settlement services through direct...

Stewart Information Services underwrites title insurance and provides real estate settlement services through direct operations and a network of independent agents in the U.S. and select international markets. Revenue comes from title insurance premiums and real estate solutions fees, serving lenders, homebuyers, and commercial real estate professionals through approximately 7,800 employees globally.

Related stocks: SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc.) · OIG (Orion180 Insurance Group Inc.) · AII (American Integrity Insurance Gr) · HIPO (Hippo Holdings Inc.) · HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings, In)
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