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AIIAmerican Integrity Insurance GrBuy Wait6.9·$25.35-0.82%
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American Integrity Insurance Gr (AII) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Wait for pullback to $21.35. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $25.35. Engine's entry $21.35 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company offers personal residential property insurance for single-family homeowners and condominium owners, as well as coverage for vacant... Read more

$25.35-9.5% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#3 of 40 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield55.29%
Entry $21.35(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $19.16Target $25.88(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$27.00+6.5%4 analysts
$25.88our TP
$25.35price
$27.00mean
$29

Wait for pullback to $21.35. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $25.35. Engine's entry $21.35 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)
Overbought (RSI 78)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.9
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$501M
EV/EBITDA2.0
Profit Mgn26.2%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth54.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.44%=HEAVYMomentum 6.0>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.56Resistance $26.41

Price Targets

$19
$21
$26
A.Upside-9.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 0.44%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AII stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $21.35. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $25.35. Engine's entry $21.35 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $25.88 (+2.1%), stop $19.16 (−32.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.88 (-9.5% upside). Target $25.88 (+2.1%), stop $19.16 (−32.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $19.16.

What are the risks of investing in AII?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away); Overbought (RSI 78).

Is AII overvalued or undervalued?

American Integrity Insurance Gr trades at a P/E of 5.9 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AII?

10 analysts cover AII with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $27.

What does American Integrity Insurance Gr do?American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance company in the...

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company offers personal residential property insurance for single-family homeowners and condominium owners, as well as coverage for vacant dwellings and investment properties. It also provides manufactured home, commercial residential, dwelling property, and specialty insurance products. In addition, the company offers optional endorsements that provide higher levels of standard coverage and optional coverage, such as personal injury, animal liability, identity recovery, and golf cart physical; and flood insurance products. It distributes its products through the Voluntary Market, which includes partnerships with independent agents, national and regional insurance companies, homebuilder-affiliated agents, and direct-to-consumer channels. American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

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