Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SPHR stock price target?

Take-profit $142.97 (-0.8% upside). Target $142.97 (-0.8%), stop $134.05 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1.

Breakout setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sphere Entertainment Co. operates two segments: Sphere (the 20,000-capacity immersive venue in Las Vegas using proprietary 16K LED and spatial audio technology) and MSG Networks (two regional sports networks plus MSG+ streaming serving NY metro). Revenue comes from ticket sales,... Read more

$144.14-0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#10 of 27 Entertainment

Stop $134.05Target $142.97(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1

Analyst target$136.36-5.4%11 analysts

$142.97our TP

$144.14price

$136.36mean

$111

$160

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $144.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top four Distributors (MSG Networks affiliation fees); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Positive news sentiment (+0.67)

Strong growth profile

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: top four Distributors (MSG Networks affiliation fees)

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (-1.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)192.5

P/E (Fwd)-75.0

Mkt Cap$5.1B

EV/EBITDA30.2

Profit Mgn2.7%

ROE1.5%

Rev Growth27.9%

Beta1.65

DividendNone

Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish

IV77%elevated

Max Pain$90-37.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomertop four Distributors (MSG Networks affiliation fees)
10-K Item 1A: 'Affiliation fees constitute a significant majority of our MSG Networks revenues and substantially all of our affiliation fee revenue comes from our top four Distributors'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value2.815%0.42

Quality4.115%0.61

Growth9.515%1.43

Momentum7.010%0.70

Sentiment6.710%0.67

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.610%0.46

Technical Setup3.55%0.18

Risk Profile4.05%0.20

Catalyst7.25%0.36

Overall (Σ contributions)5.53

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

0.0

Ev Ebitda

0.0

Analyst Target

3.0

7.5

Expensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger

0.0

Support Resistance

0.8

52w Position

9.8

GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

70 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $123.04Resistance $145.89

Price Targets

$134

$143

A.Upside-0.8%

A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.7% upside)

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SPHR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $144.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top four Distributors (MSG Networks affiliation fees); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $142.97 (-0.8%), stop $134.05 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $142.97 (-0.8% upside). Target $142.97 (-0.8%), stop $134.05 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $134.05.

What are the risks of investing in SPHR?

Concentration risk — Customer: top four Distributors (MSG Networks affiliation fees); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-1.0% away).

Is SPHR overvalued or undervalued?

Sphere Entertainment Co. trades at a P/E of 192.5 (forward -75.0). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPHR?

18 analysts cover SPHR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $136.

What does Sphere Entertainment Co. do?Sphere Entertainment Co. operates two segments: Sphere (the 20,000-capacity immersive venue in Las Vegas using...