Value
4.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.7 |
| P/S | 7.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.2 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
SPHR · Why this verdict
Why Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.8 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 7.0 |
| Op margin | 1.1 |
| Net margin | 4.3 |
| Current ratio | 4.7 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.1 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 370% FCF/NI
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 38% YoY
Momentum
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.2 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 8.4 |
| Price target | 7.3 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.2 |
| quality rank | 4.8 |
| growth rank | 8.6 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.0 |
| support resistance | 3.5 |
| 52w position | 8.7 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 1.3 |
| put call | 6.4 |
| implied vol | 1.7 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 4.5 |
| debt equity | 8.3 |
- ▸High short interest: 37%
- ▸High IV: 70%
- ▸Above max pain $85
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.5>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:60d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.16
Upside
+1.8%
Downside
11.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.65>1.3, MCap $5.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.7 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 10.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.16 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 7.4, and Catalyst at 7.0; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.2, Value at 4.4, and Quality at 4.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.16 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.