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NWSNews CorporationSell5.4·$32.02
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

News Corporation beats earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, converts 153% of net income to free cash flow, and carries a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but the stock is in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining at negative 1.7% per month and 17% short interest.

Thesis pillars

  • Superior Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

News Corporation (NWS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $32.02: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of third-party suppliers; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

News Corporation is a New York-based media and information services company with four revenue segments: Dow Jones (The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Factiva), Digital Real Estate Services (62.0% of REA Group and 80% of Move/Realtor.com), Book Publishing (HarperCollins) and News... Read more

$32.02+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#18 of 31 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.06%
IncomeYield0.60%(5y avg 0.79%)Payout19.42%sustainable
Stop $30.66Resistance target $33.50A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $32.02: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of third-party suppliers; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About News Corporation

About News Corporation

News Corporation generated fiscal 2026 segment revenues of $2.5 billion at Dow Jones, $2.3 billion at Book Publishing, $2.2 billion at News Media and $2.0 billion at Digital Real Estate Services. The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, HarperCollins, realestate.com.au and Realtor.com anchor a portfolio that operates mainly in the U.S., Australia and the U.K. Dow Jones averaged 6.7 million total news subscriptions in the quarter ended June 2026, including 4.8 million at The Wall Street Journal.

Dow Jones earns money from consumer and business subscriptions, circulation, advertising, licensing and live-event fees, and its professional products include Dow Jones Risk & Compliance, Factiva, with approximately 852,000 activated users, and Dow Jones Newswires, which reaches customers through Bloomberg, London Stock Exchange Group and FactSet. Digital Real Estate Services consists of a 62.0% stake in ASX-listed REA Group, which runs realestate.com.au, and an 80% stake in Move, whose Realtor.com platform operates under a perpetual trademark license with the National Association of Realtors and draws most revenue from subscription-based lead generation and listing products plus referral fees. Professional-information rivals named in the filing include Reuters News, RELX, S&P Global and Argus Media. In July 2026, REA Group announced an agreement to sell REA India.

Show full overview

Platform dependence is the sharpest lens. Search engines, social networks and AI platforms control how News Corp content is discovered, and the 10-K says AI-powered tools may reduce traffic, subscriber demand and engagement while content license agreements with technology companies have not all been renewed. The company also relies on Amazon Web Services for cloud services and on Google for workspace tools. In real estate, high home prices, elevated interest rates and weak consumer confidence continued to weigh on the U.S. market in fiscal 2026, rule changes following National Association of Realtors settlements are shifting how agent commissions are negotiated, and Australian housing reform legislation may affect listing volumes at REA Group.

See also: Communication Services · Entertainment

From News Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of third-party suppliers
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.1
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$17.2B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta0.98
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited number of third-party suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'depend on a single or limited number of third-party suppliers for certain products, services, data and information'
  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services cloud-based services
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartylarge digital platforms traffic
    10-K Item 1A: 'Large digital platforms with extensive user data and targeting capabilities command a substantial share of the digital advertising market and are also responsible for a significant amount of traffic'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.2
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.08Resistance $34.18

Price Targets

$31
$34
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $32.02: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of third-party suppliers; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $30.66. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWS stock price target?

Resistance target: $33.50 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $30.66. Stop-loss: $30.66.

What are the risks of investing in NWS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of third-party suppliers; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is NWS overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NWS?

15 analysts cover NWS with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

What does News Corporation do?News Corporation is a New York-based media and information services company with four revenue segments: Dow Jones (The...

News Corporation is a New York-based media and information services company with four revenue segments: Dow Jones (The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Factiva), Digital Real Estate Services (62.0% of REA Group and 80% of Move/Realtor.com), Book Publishing (HarperCollins) and News Media (The Australian, The Sun, The Times). Revenue comes from subscriptions, advertising, real estate listing products, book sales and licensing, mainly in the U.S., Australia and the U.K.

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