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TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.Sell5.8·$200.77-1.27%
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TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. At $200.77, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.1%.

TKO Group Holdings owns premium sports and entertainment properties including UFC, WWE, PBR, and Zuffa Boxing, plus sports marketing agency IMG and experiential hospitality business On Location, reaching 1B+ households in 210 countries. Revenue streams include media rights... Read more

$200.77+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.14%
IncomeYield1.53%Payout100.37%at-risk
Stop $186.58Target $210.95(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$234.39+16.7%18 analysts
$210.95our TP
$200.77price
$234.39mean
$185
$275

Sell if holding. At $200.77, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.1%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.1%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)75.9
P/E (Fwd)43.6
Mkt Cap$38.9B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth25.9%
Beta0.62
Dividend1.53%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$260+29.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
1.2
Ev Ebitda
1.7
Forward Pe
2.6
Ps
5.1
Peg Ratio
5.3
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 43.6xPEG: 1.44
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $185.66Resistance $215.86

Price Targets

$187
$211
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TKO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $200.77, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.1%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $186.58. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TKO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $210.95 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $186.58. Stop-loss: $186.58.

What are the risks of investing in TKO?

Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Expensive valuation.

Is TKO overvalued or undervalued?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 75.9 (forward 43.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TKO?

27 analysts cover TKO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $234.

What does TKO Group Holdings, Inc. do?TKO Group Holdings owns premium sports and entertainment properties including UFC, WWE, PBR, and Zuffa Boxing, plus...

TKO Group Holdings owns premium sports and entertainment properties including UFC, WWE, PBR, and Zuffa Boxing, plus sports marketing agency IMG and experiential hospitality business On Location, reaching 1B+ households in 210 countries. Revenue streams include media rights licenses (Paramount, Netflix, ESPN, DAZN), live events, corporate sponsorships, and consumer product licensing.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · NFLX (Netflix, Inc.) · NWSA (News Corporation) · FWONK (Liberty Media Corporation - Ser) · SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.)
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