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SNOWSnowflake Inc.Sell5.0·$233.38-2.92%
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Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. At $233.38, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS.

Snowflake provides the AI Data Cloud platform enabling customers to consolidate, analyze, share and build applications on data across cloud environments. Revenue was $4.7B in FY2026 from 13,328 customers on a consumption-based model with 125% net revenue retention; 790 Forbes... Read more

$233.38+15.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#89 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield2.16%
Stop $216.49Target $268.36(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$291.70+25.0%48 analysts
$268.36our TP
$233.38price
$291.70mean
$110
$500

Sell if holding. At $233.38, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news legal. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)86.7
Mkt Cap$80.7B
EV/EBITDA-71.4
Profit Mgn-23.8%
ROE-54.9%
Rev Growth33.5%
Beta1.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts58

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$420+80.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAWS
    10-K Item 1A: 'Currently, a substantial majority of our business is run on the AWS public cloud.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Peg Ratio
1.9
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 86.7xPEG: 6.01Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
8.5
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS LEGALInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $149.07Resistance $284.99

Price Targets

$216
$268
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNOW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $233.38, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $216.49. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNOW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $268.36 (+15.3% upside). Prior stop was $216.49. Stop-loss: $216.49.

What are the risks of investing in SNOW?

Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Expensive valuation.

Is SNOW overvalued or undervalued?

Snowflake Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 86.7). TrendMatrix value score: 2.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNOW?

58 analysts cover SNOW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $292.

What does Snowflake Inc. do?Snowflake provides the AI Data Cloud platform enabling customers to consolidate, analyze, share and build applications...

Snowflake provides the AI Data Cloud platform enabling customers to consolidate, analyze, share and build applications on data across cloud environments. Revenue was $4.7B in FY2026 from 13,328 customers on a consumption-based model with 125% net revenue retention; 790 Forbes Global 2000 customers contributed approximately 43% of revenue.

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