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SKYDSkydance CorporationSell4.1·$7.77
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Skydance is a speculative recovery story 50% off its high, with two straight earnings beats and insider buying, but low quality (2.6/10), no moat and a $8.11 analyst target only 4.3% above the $7.77 price against 15.0% downside leave little margin.

Thesis pillars

  • No Moat Low Quality→Stable
  • Volatile Earnings Turnaround↓Deteriorating
  • Recovery After Death Cross→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Skydance Corporation (SKYD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.77: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.43; Below-average business quality.

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised... Read more

$7.77+5.9% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#28 of 31 Entertainment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield44.91%
IncomeYield2.58%(5y avg 2.32%)Payout93.20%at-risk
Stop $7.23Analyst target $8.23(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$9.15+17.7%18 analysts
$8.23Analyst target
$7.77price
$9.15mean
$4
$14

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.77: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.43; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/9 gates (clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news soft restructuring. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Skydance Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 6, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: _Director Appointments_ On October 4, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Skydance Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the "Company"), appointed Robert A.
  • 8K Oct 6, 2026 MEDIUM Item 1.02: **(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)** | | **(Commission File Number)** | | **(IRS Employer Identification Number)** **1515 Broadway** **New York , New York** | | **10036** ---|---|--- **(Address of principal executive offices)** | | **(Zip Code)** **Registrant's telephone number, inc...
  • 8K Oct 6, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: **(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)** | | **(Commission File Number)** | | **(IRS Employer Identification Number)** **1515 Broadway** **New York , New York** | | **10036** ---|---|--- **(Address of principal executive offices)** | | **(Zip Code)** **Registrant's telephone number, inc...
  • 8K Oct 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On September 27, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Paramount Skydance Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the "Company"), appointed Ynon Kreiz as the Company's Co-Chief Executive Officer and as a member of the Board, in each case, effective as of October 5, 2026 (the "Commencement Da...

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:52Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)88.7
Mkt Cap$39.2B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn-2.1%
ROE-0.9%
Rev Growth0.9%
Beta1.55
Dividend2.58%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.43bearish
IV242%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    _Director Appointments_ On October 4, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Skydance Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the "Company"), appointed Robert A.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-10-06Item 1.02MEDIUM
    **(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)** | | **(Commission File Number)** | | **(IRS Employer Identification Number)** **1515 Broadway** **New York , New York** | | **10036** ---|---|--- **(Address of principal executive offices)** | | **(Zip Code)** **Registrant's telephone number, inc...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-10-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    **(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)** | | **(Commission File Number)** | | **(IRS Employer Identification Number)** **1515 Broadway** **New York , New York** | | **10036** ---|---|--- **(Address of principal executive offices)** | | **(Zip Code)** **Registrant's telephone number, inc...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-10-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On September 27, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Paramount Skydance Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the "Company"), appointed Ynon Kreiz as the Company's Co-Chief Executive Officer and as a member of the Board, in each case, effective as of October 5, 2026 (the "Commencement Da...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-09-25Item 3.01LOW
    **_(d) Transfer of Listing._** **_Transfer of Listing from Nasdaq to NYSE_** On September 25, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation, a Delaware corporation (the "Company"), acting pursuant to authorization from its Board of Directors (the "Board"), determined to voluntarily withdraw the listing of...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.8
Gross Margin
2.7
Moat
3.1
Operating Margin
3.7
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.3
Bollinger
1.5
Support Resistance
3.7
Gap
6.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
7.4
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
63 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.60Resistance $8.46

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKYD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.77: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.43; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $7.23. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKYD stock price target?

Analyst target: $8.23 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $7.23. Stop-loss: $7.23.

What are the risks of investing in SKYD?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is SKYD overvalued or undervalued?

Skydance Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 88.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKYD?

29 analysts cover SKYD with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Skydance Corporation do?Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee...

Warner Bros. Share per quarter to commence after September 30, 2026, and increased the regulatory termination fee payable by us to $7.0 billion if the transaction does not close due to regulatory matters. On the same date, the Warner Bros. Board determined that our revised proposal could reasonably be expected to lead to a "Company Superior Proposal" as defined in the Netflix merger agreement, although no final determination has been made as to whether our proposal is superior to the Netflix ...

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Latest news

Latest News

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