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SIRISiriusXM Holdings Inc.Sell5.3·$27.15-1.58%
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SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.15 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc.,... Read more

$27.15+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#14 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.80%
IncomeYield3.92%(5y avg 2.83%)Payout45.76%sustainable
Stop $25.66Target $29.51(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$28.00+3.1%13 analysts
$29.51our TP
$27.15price
$28.00mean
$18
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.15 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — SiriusXM Holdings Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangement of Certain Officers. Amendment No. 1 to Sirius XM Holdings Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta0.96
Dividend3.92%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV60%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangement of Certain Officers. Amendment No. 1 to Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.51Resistance $30.11

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside+8.7%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SIRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.15 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.66. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SIRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.51 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $25.66. Stop-loss: $25.66.

What are the risks of investing in SIRI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is SIRI overvalued or undervalued?

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SIRI?

21 analysts cover SIRI with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $28.

What does SiriusXM Holdings Inc. do?The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or...

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc., Sirius XM Radio LLC and its subsidiaries, other than Pandora. "Pandora" refers to SiriusXM's wholly owned subsidiary Pandora Media, LLC and its subsidiaries.

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