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SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc.,... Read more

$27.22+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#8 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $25.16Target $28.19(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$26.31-3.4%13 analysts
$28.19our TP
$27.22price
$26.31mean
$18
$46

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$9.1B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta0.86
Dividend4.01%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$15-44.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Richard N. Baer, our Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary, has informed us that he intends to retire in March. Mr. Baer will continue serving in his current role until February 8, 2026. After that date, Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.16Resistance $28.77

Price Targets

$25
$28
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SIRI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $28.19 (+3.6%), stop $25.16 (−8.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SIRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.19 (+4.2% upside). Target $28.19 (+3.6%), stop $25.16 (−8.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $25.16.

What are the risks of investing in SIRI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SIRI overvalued or undervalued?

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SIRI?

21 analysts cover SIRI with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $26.

What does SiriusXM Holdings Inc. do?The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or...

The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc., Sirius XM Radio LLC and its subsidiaries, other than Pandora. "Pandora" refers to SiriusXM's wholly owned subsidiary Pandora Media, LLC and its subsidiaries.

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