SiriusXM Holdings trades at a deeply discounted forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1x and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but high short interest of 14%, poor price momentum with RSI at 22, and a stock price above the analyst target create a difficult near-term setup.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Beat Record→Stable
- Deep Value At Low Forward Multiple→Stable
- Oversold Rsi With Short Interest Pressure↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 5, 2026
SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Stock Analysis
Communication Services · Entertainment
Wait for pullback to $26.66. At $27.32 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $26.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).
The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc.,... Read more
Wait for pullback to $26.66. At $27.32 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $26.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — SiriusXM Holdings Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Why SIRI Stock Hands You So Much Cash Right Now - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Sirius XM (SIRI) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Sirius XM Earnings: What To Look For From SIRI - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Is Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) Cheap Based On Future Cash Flow? - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street neutral
- NEWS Is Sirius XM Holdings Inc (SIRI) a Bargain After 3.8% Drop? GF V - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-30Item 5.02MEDIUMOn July 30, 2026, Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (the "Company") announced that Wayne D. Thorsen, the Company's Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, will cease serving as an employee of the Company effective July 31, 2026. There were no disagreements between the Company and Mr.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $26.66. At $27.32 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $26.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $29.45 (+7.8%), stop $25.40 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $29.45 (+7.8% upside). Target $29.45 (+7.8%), stop $25.40 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $25.40.
Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.
SiriusXM Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
22 analysts cover SIRI with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $34.
What does SiriusXM Holdings Inc. do?The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or...
The terms "Sirius XM Holdings," "the Company," "us," "we" and "our" as used herein and unless otherwise stated or indicated by context, refer to Sirius XM Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. "SiriusXM" refers to Sirius XM Holdings' wholly owned subsidiaries, Sirius XM Inc., Sirius XM Radio LLC and its subsidiaries, other than Pandora. "Pandora" refers to SiriusXM's wholly owned subsidiary Pandora Media, LLC and its subsidiaries.