Value
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.7 |
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.6 |
| PEG | 6.4 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.0x
- ▸PEG: 1.15
- ▸Attractively valued
SIRI · Why this verdict
Why SiriusXM Holdings (SIRI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.5 |
| ROA | 2.9 |
| Gross margin | 5.4 |
| Op margin | 8.8 |
| Net margin | 4.9 |
| Current ratio | 1.8 |
| FCF quality | 7.9 |
| Moat | 4.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
4.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.8 |
| EPS growth | 6.4 |
Momentum
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 6.3 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.2/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.3 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $739,913 (0.008% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.5 |
| quality rank | 6.0 |
| growth rank | 2.1 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.2 |
| support resistance | 6.7 |
| 52w position | 7.9 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 2.7 |
| days to cover | 5.8 |
| volatility | 3.7 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.2 |
| debt equity | 5.9 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Above max pain $15
Catalyst
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 400.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.4=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.39
Upside
-9.8%
Downside
7.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.1 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.4) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-1.4=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -1.39 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.4, Technical at 6.7, and Peer rank at 5.4; the weakest are Momentum at 3.8, Growth at 4.6, and Catalyst at 5.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.39 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.