Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
Sell if holding. At $45.89, A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%).
Steven Madden designs and sources footwear, handbags, and apparel under Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Carvela, and other brands globally. Wholesale (66.1% of 2025 revenue) and DTC (33.4%) channels; U.S. accounted for ~66.2% of global sales, with no... Read more
Sell if holding. At $45.89, A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-11Recent Developments — Steven Madden, Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS Steven Madden (SHOO) to Release Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Steven Madden (SHOO) Q1 earnings and revenues top estimates - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Steven Madden (NASDAQ:SHOO) Issues FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Steven Madden (NASDAQ:SHOO) Beats Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Steven Madden (SHOO) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierChina manufacturing56%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 56.1% of our total purchases were manufactured in China'
- MEDIUMSupplierCambodia manufacturing25%10-K Item 1A: '24.6% in Cambodia'
- HIGHGeographicUnited States66%10-K Item 1A: 'The United States accounted for approximately 66.2% of our global sales in fiscal year 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $45.89, A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.73. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $45.72 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $42.73. Stop-loss: $42.73.
Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Steven Madden, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 41.7 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover SHOO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $46.
What does Steven Madden, Ltd. do?Steven Madden designs and sources footwear, handbags, and apparel under Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, Dolce Vita, Betsey...
Steven Madden designs and sources footwear, handbags, and apparel under Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Carvela, and other brands globally. Wholesale (66.1% of 2025 revenue) and DTC (33.4%) channels; U.S. accounted for ~66.2% of global sales, with no single customer exceeding 10% of net revenue.