Skip to main content
BIRKBirkenstock Holding plcSell5.1·$48.19-1.15%
Open full analysis

Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.19: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Elevated put/call ratio: 16.42.

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company... Read more

$48.19+3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 7 Footwear & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.12%
Stop $44.79Target $49.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$52.53+9.0%20 analysts
$49.72our TP
$48.19price
$52.53mean
$41
$77

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.19: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Elevated put/call ratio: 16.42. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.8% upside)
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn16.3%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C16.42bearish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$20-58.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.4

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
1.5
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
4.9
Beta
6.0
Debt Equity
8.1
High short interest: 26%Elevated put/call: 16.42High IV: 91%Above max pain $20

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
1.9
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.2
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.34Resistance $50.73

Price Targets

$45
$50
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.19: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Elevated put/call ratio: 16.42. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $44.79. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BIRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.72 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $44.79. Stop-loss: $44.79.

What are the risks of investing in BIRK?

Target reached (-1.8% upside); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is BIRK overvalued or undervalued?

Birkenstock Holding plc trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BIRK?

27 analysts cover BIRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Birkenstock Holding plc do?Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle...

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company sells its products through e-commerce sites and a network of owned retail stores, as well as business-to-business channels. The company was formerly known as Birkenstock Group Limited. Birkenstock Holding plc was founded in 1774 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Birkenstock Holding plc operates as a subsidiary of BK LC Lux MidCo S.à r.l.

Related stocks: WWW (Wolverine World Wide, Inc.) · SHOO (Steven Madden, Ltd.) · ONON (On Holding AG) · DECK (Deckers Outdoor Corporation) · CROX (Crocs, Inc.)
Home Stocks BIRK

Latest news

Latest News

The Globe and Mail26d ago
MarketBeat62d ago
TradingView33d agoAnalyst
Investing.com33d agoAnalyst
Quiver Quantitative33d agoEarnings
AlphaStreet33d ago
Seeking Alpha33d ago
Proactive financial news34d ago
TipRanks34d ago
KING5.com34d agoEarnings
WKYC34d agoEarnings
AD HOC NEWS68d ago
TradingView40d ago
AD HOC NEWS62d ago
GuruFocus62d agoAnalyst
24/7 Wall St.62d agoAnalyst
MSN62d ago
MSN63d agoAnalyst
The Globe and Mail34d ago
Timothysykes.com25d ago
Loading more...