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CROXCrocs, Inc.Hold4.8·$129.08+3.50%
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Crocs, Inc. (CROX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away).

Crocs, Inc. designs and markets casual footwear globally through two segments — the Crocs Brand (clogs, sandals, Jibbitz charms) and the HEYDUDE Brand (loafers) — sold in more than 85 countries via wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels. In 2025, DTC accounted for 52.1% and... Read more

$129.08-1.7% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 7 Footwear & Accessories
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.21%
Stop $120.01Target $126.86(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$119.75-7.2%12 analysts
$126.86our TP
$129.08price
$119.75mean
$86
$150

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Crocs, Inc.

About Crocs, Inc.

Crocs, Inc. generated 52.1% of 2025 consolidated revenues through its direct-to-consumer channel — spanning 23 e-commerce sites, 514 company-operated stores, and third-party marketplaces — and 47.9% through wholesale. Digital sales reached 37.8% of consolidated revenues in 2025. International Crocs Brand sales represented 48.6% of Crocs Brand revenues, and the company employed more than 8,010 people globally at December 31, 2025.

Crocs sells at accessible price points across wholesale and DTC, with its proprietary Croslite closed-cell resin forming the material base for most Crocs Brand footwear. The HEYDUDE Brand focuses on loafer silhouettes primarily in the U.S. market, where channel inventory corrections have required extended stabilization efforts. All production is outsourced to third-party manufacturers concentrated in Vietnam — approximately 45% of Crocs Brand output and 44% of HEYDUDE Brand output in 2025 — with the largest Crocs Brand manufacturer producing 45% of Crocs Brand total production and the second-largest producing 28%. Named competitors include NIKE, adidas AG, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, and Birkenstock Holding plc. Distributor agreements typically run one to five years with renegotiation rights if minimum requirements are not met, creating periodic inventory and margin exposure.

Show full overview

The HEYDUDE Brand reported an impairment triggering event in Q2 fiscal 2025 when Crocs revised its internal forecast downward, citing an extended stabilization timeline, weak U.S. consumer sentiment, and what the 10-K characterizes as a disproportionate impact of tariffs on HEYDUDE products specifically — distinct from the Crocs Brand's tariff exposure. With HEYDUDE production having shifted to approximately 44% Vietnam-sourced in 2025 from a primarily China-based base prior to that year, any sustained tariff escalation targeting Vietnam could weigh on margins across both segments simultaneously.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

From Crocs, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.3% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE-6.1%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta1.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$43-67.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierlargest Crocs Brand manufacturer45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest third-party manufacturer for the Crocs Brand...produced approximately 45%...of our production during the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMSuppliersecond largest Crocs Brand manufacturer28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our second largest third-party manufacturer for the Crocs Brand...produced approximately 28%...of our production during the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicVietnam45%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 45%...of our Crocs Brand production was in Vietnam'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.3
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $95.28Resistance $129.45

Price Targets

$120
$127
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CROX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $126.86 (-1.7%), stop $120.01 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CROX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.86 (-1.7% upside). Target $126.86 (-1.7%), stop $120.01 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $120.01.

What are the risks of investing in CROX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is CROX overvalued or undervalued?

Crocs, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CROX?

23 analysts cover CROX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Crocs, Inc. do?Crocs, Inc. designs and markets casual footwear globally through two segments — the Crocs Brand (clogs, sandals,...

Crocs, Inc. designs and markets casual footwear globally through two segments — the Crocs Brand (clogs, sandals, Jibbitz charms) and the HEYDUDE Brand (loafers) — sold in more than 85 countries via wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels. In 2025, DTC accounted for 52.1% and wholesale 47.9% of consolidated revenues, with 514 company-operated stores at year-end across 16 countries.

Related stocks: WWW (Wolverine World Wide, Inc.) · SHOO (Steven Madden, Ltd.) · ONON (On Holding AG) · DECK (Deckers Outdoor Corporation) · BIRK (Birkenstock Holding plc)
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