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Crocs, Inc. (CROX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $102.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual lifestyle footwear globally through two segments: Crocs Brand (iconic clog and sandal products) and HEYDUDE Brand (lightweight loafer silhouettes). Revenue is from wholesale, retail, and digital channels; digital was 37.8% of consolidated... Read more

$102.83+8.3% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#6 of 7 Footwear & Accessories
Stop $95.26Target $110.90(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$109.67+6.6%12 analysts
$110.90our TP
$102.83price
$109.67mean
$84
$135

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $102.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE-6.1%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta1.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$50-51.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierlargest Crocs Brand third-party manufacturer (Vietnam)45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest third-party manufacturer for the Crocs Brand, with the majority of operations in Vietnam, produced approximately 45%, 50%, and 47% of our production during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.92Resistance $113.16

Price Targets

$95
$111
A.Upside+7.8%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.8% upside)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CROX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $102.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $95.26. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CROX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.90 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $95.26. Stop-loss: $95.26.

What are the risks of investing in CROX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is CROX overvalued or undervalued?

Crocs, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CROX?

23 analysts cover CROX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Crocs, Inc. do?Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual lifestyle footwear globally through two segments: Crocs Brand (iconic clog and...

Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual lifestyle footwear globally through two segments: Crocs Brand (iconic clog and sandal products) and HEYDUDE Brand (lightweight loafer silhouettes). Revenue is from wholesale, retail, and digital channels; digital was 37.8% of consolidated revenues in 2025, with international comprising 48.6% of Crocs Brand revenues.

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