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SAROStandardAero, Inc.Sell5.6·$26.91+3.70%
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StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.91: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

StandardAero is the largest independent aerospace engine aftermarket services provider, offering maintenance, repair, overhaul, and component repair for commercial, military, and business aviation globally with approximately 8,000 employees. Revenue is earned under... Read more

$26.91+15.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.03%
Stop $25.03Target $30.98(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$35.61+32.3%14 analysts
$30.98our TP
$26.91price
$35.61mean
$42

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.91: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: four largest parts suppliers (OEMs)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.6
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$8.9B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth13.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV92%elevated
Max Pain$40+48.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop four OEM customers36%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top four OEM customers accounted for approximately 36% and 41% of our revenue, respectively'
  • HIGHSupplierfour largest parts suppliers (OEMs)
    10-K Item 1: 'our four largest parts suppliers, which consisted of OEMs, accounted for a substantial majority of our total parts purchases'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
2.4
Fcf Quality
2.5
Operating Margin
3.5
Roa
3.6
Roe
3.8
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.4
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 31% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $24.21Resistance $28.86

Price Targets

$25
$31
A.Upside+15.1%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SARO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.91: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $25.03. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SARO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.98 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $25.03. Stop-loss: $25.03.

What are the risks of investing in SARO?

Concentration risk — Supplier: four largest parts suppliers (OEMs); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is SARO overvalued or undervalued?

StandardAero, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.6 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SARO?

20 analysts cover SARO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $36.

What does StandardAero, Inc. do?StandardAero is the largest independent aerospace engine aftermarket services provider, offering maintenance, repair,...

StandardAero is the largest independent aerospace engine aftermarket services provider, offering maintenance, repair, overhaul, and component repair for commercial, military, and business aviation globally with approximately 8,000 employees. Revenue is earned under time-and-materials, fixed-price-per-event, and long-term contracts; approximately 80% of revenue is derived from customers under long-term agreements.

Related stocks: VVX (V2X, Inc.) · EMBJ (Embraer S.A.) · HEI-A (Heico Corporation) · HEI (Heico Corporation) · CDRE (Cadre Holdings, Inc.)
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