Sonic Automotive, Inc. (SAH) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SAH stock price target?

Take-profit $79.84 (+5.7% upside). Prior stop was $70.28.

Q: What are the risks of investing in SAH?

Target reached (-12.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Target reached (-12.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Q: Is SAH overvalued or undervalued?

Sonic Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about SAH?

15 analysts cover SAH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $76.

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.57: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality.

Sonic Automotive is one of the largest US automotive retailers, operating 111 franchised dealerships (85% of 2025 revenue), 18 EchoPark used-vehicle specialty stores (13.7%), and 14 Powersports stores across 18+ states. Revenue comes from new/used vehicle sales, Fixed Operations... Read more

$75.57+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 16 Auto & Truck Dealerships

Stop $70.28Target $79.84(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1

Analyst target$76.09+0.7%11 analysts

$79.84our TP

$75.57price

$76.09mean

$67

$92

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-12.4% upside)

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.8

P/E (Fwd)11.0

Mkt Cap$2.6B

EV/EBITDA9.8

Profit Mgn0.8%

ROE11.1%

Rev Growth-0.6%

Beta0.83

Dividend2.07%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish

IV83%elevated

Max Pain$35-53.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMSupplierluxury and mid-line import brands
10-K Item 1A: 'Our new vehicle sales operations are comprised primarily of luxury and mid-line import brands, which exposes us to manufacturer concentration risks.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
Sonic Automotive Compensation Committee established 2026 performance-based cash bonus parameters for executive officers (CEO David Smith, President Jeff Dyke, CFO Heath Byrd). Routine compensatory arrangement.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.215%1.08

Quality3.515%0.53

Growth1.115%0.17

Momentum7.310%0.73

Sentiment5.810%0.58

Insider Activity7.010%0.70

Peer Rank4.310%0.43

Technical Setup3.85%0.19

Risk Profile3.35%0.17

Catalyst7.65%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)4.95

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -0.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth

0.0

Revenue Growth

2.3

Declining revenue: -1%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.4

Operating Margin

1.3

Piotroski F

3.3

Roa

3.6

Roe

3.7

Current Ratio

4.3

Moat

5.0

Fcf Quality

10.0

Excellent cash conversion: 160% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger

1.2

Support Resistance

2.9

52w Position

7.2

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

67 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $61.45Resistance $81.47

Price Targets

$70

$80

A.Upside+5.7%

A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.4% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SAH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.57: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $70.28. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SAH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.84 (+5.7% upside). Prior stop was $70.28. Stop-loss: $70.28.

What are the risks of investing in SAH?

Target reached (-12.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is SAH overvalued or undervalued?

Sonic Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SAH?

15 analysts cover SAH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Sonic Automotive, Inc. do?Sonic Automotive is one of the largest US automotive retailers, operating 111 franchised dealerships (85% of 2025...