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RYAAYRyanair Holdings plcHold5.7·$60.50+1.87%
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Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers various ancillary services; engages in other activities connected with its air passenger... Read more

$60.50+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 12 Airlines
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-3.35%
IncomeYield1.64%Payout20.55%sustainable
Stop $56.69Target $64.64(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$74.30+22.8%5 analysts
$64.64our TP
$60.50price
$74.30mean
$82

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.1%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -20.1%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$31.4B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn14.0%
ROE25.4%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.64%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$30-50.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.30Resistance $62.15

Price Targets

$57
$65
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYAAY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $64.64 (+6.8%), stop $56.69 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RYAAY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.64 (+7.1% upside). Target $64.64 (+6.8%), stop $56.69 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $56.69.

What are the risks of investing in RYAAY?

Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -20.1%), Negative free cash flow.

Is RYAAY overvalued or undervalued?

Ryanair Holdings plc trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RYAAY?

23 analysts cover RYAAY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Ryanair Holdings plc do?Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy,...

Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers various ancillary services; engages in other activities connected with its air passenger service, including non-flight scheduled and Internet-related services, as well as in-flight sale of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise; and markets car hire, travel insurance, and accommodation services through its website and mobile app. It also provides passenger and aircraft handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services; and markets car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, attractions, and activities on its website and mobile app, as well as sells gift vouchers. Ryanair Holdings plc was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.) · DAL (Delta Air Lines, Inc.) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)
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