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SKYWSkyWest, Inc.Sell5.3·$92.77+1.12%
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SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. At $92.77, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; Weak growth.

SkyWest operates the largest regional airline in the U.S. with 487 aircraft under contract as United Express (216), Delta Connection (137), American Eagle (92), and Alaska Airlines (42), under predominantly fixed-fee capacity purchase agreements. Revenue is mostly from fixed... Read more

$92.77+14.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#8 of 12 Airlines
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.42%
Stop $86.83Target $105.70(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$121.50+31.0%6 analysts
$105.70our TP
$92.77price
$121.50mean
$150

Sell if holding. At $92.77, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 41%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE16.5%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta1.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$110+18.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerUnited and Delta combined
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, 353 out of our total 487 aircraft in scheduled service were operating under a capacity purchase agreement or a prorate agreement with either United or Delta'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
5.0
Gap
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.7
Revenue Growth
4.2
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $77.89Resistance $95.15

Price Targets

$87
$106
A.Upside+13.9%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKYW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $92.77, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $86.83. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKYW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $105.70 (+14.0% upside). Prior stop was $86.83. Stop-loss: $86.83.

What are the risks of investing in SKYW?

Concentration risk — Customer: United and Delta combined; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SKYW overvalued or undervalued?

SkyWest, Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKYW?

12 analysts cover SKYW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $122.

What does SkyWest, Inc. do?SkyWest operates the largest regional airline in the U.S. with 487 aircraft under contract as United Express (216),...

SkyWest operates the largest regional airline in the U.S. with 487 aircraft under contract as United Express (216), Delta Connection (137), American Eagle (92), and Alaska Airlines (42), under predominantly fixed-fee capacity purchase agreements. Revenue is mostly from fixed rates per departure/block hour with fuel costs borne by major airline partners; United and Delta together account for 353 of 487 contracted aircraft.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · AERO (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V) · RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)
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