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DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.Sell5.8·$84.57+1.82%
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Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.57: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more than 300 destinations across six continents, with core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City. Revenue spans passenger tickets, the... Read more

$84.57+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 12 Airlines
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.67%
IncomeYield0.90%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout10.40%sustainable
Stop $78.72Target $85.64(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$81.81-3.3%25 analysts
$85.64our TP
$84.57price
$81.81mean
$48
$105

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.57: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 9, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-13.0% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$54.6B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE25.0%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta1.31
Dividend0.90%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$42-50.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAmerican Express
    10-K Item 1: 'Our most significant and valuable contract to sell miles ... remuneration from American Express totaled $8.2 billion'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.76Resistance $87.39

Price Targets

$79
$86
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.57: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $78.72. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.64 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $78.72. Stop-loss: $78.72.

What are the risks of investing in DAL?

Target reached (-13.0% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is DAL overvalued or undervalued?

Delta Air Lines, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAL?

32 analysts cover DAL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Delta Air Lines, Inc. do?Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more...

Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more than 300 destinations across six continents, with core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City. Revenue spans passenger tickets, the SkyMiles loyalty program, and American Express co-brand remuneration ($8.2 billion in 2025), plus MRO services through Delta TechOps.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.) · RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)
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