LATAM Airlines is executing with exceptional precision — a perfect four-quarter beat streak averaging roughly 35% above consensus including a 70% positive surprise most recently, against 22% year-over-year earnings growth at a forward P/E of 8.1x — but a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.4 is the primary financial vulnerability if the growth runway shortens.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- Attractive Valuation Growth Franchise→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth Momentum→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Airlines
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Score 6.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — LATAM Airlines Group S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS Today’s Stock Recommendation (July 29, 2026): LTM Breaks Key Resistance, Signals Bullish Upside - BusinessLine — BusinessLine positive
- NEWS SA analyst upgrades/downgrades: MU, ORCL, SMCI, LTM - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Axis Capital Upgrades LTM to Buy From Add; Price Target Is INR4,640 - Moomoo — Moomoo positive
- NEWS LATAM Airlines is JPMorgan's top Latin American airline pick - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Axis Capital Upgrades LTM to Buy from Add; Price Target is INR4,640 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $40.77. Score 6.3/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $64.26 (+46.6% upside). Prior stop was $40.77. Stop-loss: $40.77.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5.
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover LTM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $74.
What does LATAM Airlines Group S.A. do?LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in...
LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31, 2024, the company provides passenger transport services to 160 destinations in 27 countries; and operated 371 fleet of aircraft. The company was formerly known as LAN Airlines S.A. and changed its name to LATAM Airlines Group S.A. in June 2012. LATAM Airlines Group S.A. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.