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Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. (PK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.51: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality.

Park Hotels & Resorts is a lodging REIT with 34 premium-branded hotels (~23,000 rooms) concentrated in Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York, New Orleans, and Boston. Revenue is derived from hotel operations with the Core portfolio of 21 hotels generating approximately 90% of Hotel... Read more

$11.51+0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
Stop $10.80Target $11.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$12.31+7.0%16 analysts
$11.60our TP
$11.51price
$12.31mean
$9
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.51: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: Hilton
Target reached (-3.6% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn-8.5%
ROE-6.4%
Rev Growth-1.3%
Beta
Dividend8.72%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida and Hawaii39%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our hotels in Florida and Hawaii alone representing approximately 36% of our room count and over 39% of our total revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHTenantHilton
    10-K Item 1A: 'A majority of our properties currently utilize brands owned by Hilton and participate in the Hilton Honors guest loyalty and rewards program.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.5
Gross Margin
2.1
Operating Margin
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.3
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
8.9
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.14Resistance $11.84

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.51: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $10.80. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.60 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $10.80. Stop-loss: $10.80.

What are the risks of investing in PK?

Concentration risk — Tenant: Hilton; Target reached (-3.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is PK overvalued or undervalued?

Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PK?

26 analysts cover PK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. do?Park Hotels & Resorts is a lodging REIT with 34 premium-branded hotels (~23,000 rooms) concentrated in Florida, Hawaii,...

Park Hotels & Resorts is a lodging REIT with 34 premium-branded hotels (~23,000 rooms) concentrated in Florida, Hawaii, Chicago, New York, New Orleans, and Boston. Revenue is derived from hotel operations with the Core portfolio of 21 hotels generating approximately 90% of Hotel Adjusted EBITDA; over 96% of Core rooms are luxury or upper upscale. The majority of properties are affiliated with the Hilton family of brands and participate in Hilton Honors.

Related stocks: HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)