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RHRHSell5.2·$153.50+3.24%
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RH (RH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Earnings in 0 days (2026-06-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $153.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 61%; Below long-term trend.

RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer with 89 retail locations including Design Galleries in the U.S., Canada, and Europe. Revenue is driven by members who accounted for approximately 97% of sales in fiscal 2025 among ~262,000 members; sourcing is heavily concentrated in Asia.

$153.50+1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#14 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.75%
Stop $142.75Target $155.63(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$157.12+2.4%17 analysts
$155.63our TP
$153.50price
$157.12mean
$88
$275

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $153.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 61%; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jun 11, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia (69.0%)
Target reached (-7.9% upside)
Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.6
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta1.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV120%elevated
Max Pain$70-54.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAsia69%
    10-K Item 1A: '69% of our products were sourced from Asia, including 39% from Vietnam, 13% from China and the remainder predominantly from Indonesia and India'
  • MEDIUMGeographicVietnam39%
    10-K Item 1A: '69% of our products were sourced from Asia, including 39% from Vietnam, 13% from China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
1.9
Bollinger
2.4

Volatile — 5.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
3.7
Beta
3.7
Put Call
7.3
High short interest: 61%High IV: 120%Above max pain $70Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
3.9
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $113.60Resistance $158.81

Price Targets

$143
$156
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.9% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-11 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $153.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 61%; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $142.75. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.63 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $142.75. Stop-loss: $142.75.

What are the risks of investing in RH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia (69.0%); Target reached (-7.9% upside); Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0).

Is RH overvalued or undervalued?

RH trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RH?

28 analysts cover RH with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $157.

What does RH do?RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer with 89 retail locations including Design Galleries in the U.S., Canada, and...

RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer with 89 retail locations including Design Galleries in the U.S., Canada, and Europe. Revenue is driven by members who accounted for approximately 97% of sales in fiscal 2025 among ~262,000 members; sourcing is heavily concentrated in Asia.

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