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RHRHSell5.2·$149.00-2.77%
RH · Why this verdict

Why RH (RH) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E5.5
P/S9.8
EV/EBITDA4.5
Fwd P/E7.9
PEG8.4
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 15.4x
  • PEG: 0.76

Quality

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROA3.5
Gross margin4.8
Op margin4.6
Net margin1.8
Current ratio4.6
FCF quality10.0
Moat4.6
Piotroski F7.8
  • Excellent cash conversion: 242% FCF/NI
  • No competitive moat
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

6.7/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth3.4
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI2.9
MACD10.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume4.2
  • Overbought bear rally (RSI 71)
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

5.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target6.1
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
materiality3.0
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.6
notable moves7.0
  • Notable insider selling — $3,370,475 (0.122% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.8/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.9
quality rank2.2
growth rank3.9

Technical

3.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger3.1
support resistance2.7
52w position1.4
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

2.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest0.0
days to cover4.2
volatility0.0
put call7.5
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta3.7
debt equity0.0
  • High short interest: 57%
  • High IV: 121%
  • Above max pain $70
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

5.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
  • Earnings in 3 days

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Extreme risk factors.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (6)
  • MOMENTUM:4.8>=4.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d
Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.23
Upside
-3.4%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.90>1.3, MCap $2.8B<$5B

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 6.7 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 6.7, Growth at 6.7, and Sentiment at 5.4; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 2.3, Technical at 3.3, and Peer rank at 3.8. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.23 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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