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REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.Sell5.1·$33.96-0.32%
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Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. At $33.96, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties.

Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning 419 properties (~51.2M sqft) with a diversified tenant base of 1,558 leases where no single tenant exceeds 2.4% of total annualized base rent. Revenue comes... Read more

$33.96+5.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.71%
IncomeYield5.09%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout183.51%
Stop $32.64Target $35.66(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$39.63+16.7%16 analysts
$35.66our TP
$33.96price
$39.63mean
$44

Sell if holding. At $33.96, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties
Thin upside margin: 5.0%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.1
P/E (Fwd)35.9
Mkt Cap$7.9B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth-2.9%
Beta1.22
Dividend5.09%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our properties are located in Southern California, which may expose us to greater or lesser economic risks than if we owned a more geographically-diverse portfolio'
  • HIGHPropertyindustrial properties
    10-K Item 1: 'We are a self-administered and self-managed full-service REIT focused on owning, operating and acquiring industrial properties in Southern California infill markets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    John Nahas (age 43) appointed Chief Operating Officer effective April 1, 2026, in conjunction with Laura Clark's appointment to CEO. Nahas joined Rexford in January 2023 and served as Managing Director of Operations and Asset Management since July 2023.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.5
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.60Resistance $36.71

Price Targets

$33
$36
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REXR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $33.96, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $32.64. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the REXR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.66 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $32.64. Stop-loss: $32.64.

What are the risks of investing in REXR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Southern California; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Thin upside margin: 5.0%.

Is REXR overvalued or undervalued?

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.1 (forward 35.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REXR?

24 analysts cover REXR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. do?Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning...

Rexford Industrial is a self-managed industrial REIT focused exclusively on Southern California infill markets, owning 419 properties (~51.2M sqft) with a diversified tenant base of 1,558 leases where no single tenant exceeds 2.4% of total annualized base rent. Revenue comes from industrial operating leases; the portfolio is geographically concentrated within Southern California: Los Angeles 57.3%, San Bernardino 18.7%, Orange County 10.9%, San Diego 6.8%, Ventura 6.3%.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · PSA (Public Storage) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.)
Home Stocks REXR

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