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Regency Centers Corporation (REG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.25 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Regency Centers is a self-administered REIT owning 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers (~58.4M sq ft GLA) across the United States, an S&P 500 member since 2017. Revenue comes from leasing retail space to necessity, service, and value-based tenants;... Read more

$78.25+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#17 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $75.63Target $80.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$82.84+5.9%19 analysts
$80.03our TP
$78.25price
$82.84mean
$75
$90

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.25 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.8
P/E (Fwd)30.7
Mkt Cap$14.6B
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn33.1%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.92
Dividend3.88%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our real estate properties located in California, Florida and the New York-Newark-Jersey City core-based statistical area accounted for 24.8% 19.7%, and 12.6% of our annualized base rent ("ABR"), respectively.'
  • LOWGeographicFlorida20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our real estate properties located in California, Florida and the New York-Newark-Jersey City core-based statistical area accounted for 24.8% 19.7%, and 12.6% of our annualized base rent ("ABR"), respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-06Item 5.02LOW
    C. Ronald Blankenship notified Company on February 4, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election and will retire from the Board at the 2026 Annual Meeting. 25 years of service. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.3
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.41Resistance $81.66

Price Targets

$76
$80
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.25 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $75.63. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.03 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $75.63. Stop-loss: $75.63.

What are the risks of investing in REG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Expensive valuation.

Is REG overvalued or undervalued?

Regency Centers Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 30.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REG?

25 analysts cover REG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Regency Centers Corporation do?Regency Centers is a self-administered REIT owning 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers...

Regency Centers is a self-administered REIT owning 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers (~58.4M sq ft GLA) across the United States, an S&P 500 member since 2017. Revenue comes from leasing retail space to necessity, service, and value-based tenants; California (24.8% ABR), Florida (19.7% ABR), and New York-Newark-Jersey City (12.6% ABR) are the top geographic concentrations.

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