Redwire Corporation (RDW) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.26: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality.
Redwire is an integrated space and defense technology company with two segments: Space (spacecraft platforms, solar arrays, docking systems, microgravity payloads for NASA/ESA/commercial) and Defense Tech (Stalker/Penguin UAS platforms, Octopus gimbal payloads for military ISR).... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.26: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Redwire Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Space Stocks Get Torched: Short Seller Calls Them 'Sci-Fi Wishes' — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 negative
- NEWS SpaceX Starts Trading At $150, Before Rising To $165: 'Liftoff', Says Elon Musk-Led Company — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS Watching Space Stocks; Fugazi Research Issues Report Titled "Lost In Space: A Narrative Launched On Hype (ASTS, RDW, SPC — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 negative
- NEWS What's Going On With Redwire Stock Thursday? — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Redwire Stock Falls After Company Launches $500 Million ATM Equity Offering — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomernational security customers47%10-K Item 1: 'During our fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, we generated 46.9% of our revenue from national security customers, 21.6% of our revenue from civil customers, and 31.5% of our revenue from commercial customers.'
- MEDIUMGeographicinternational customers42%10-K Item 1: 'For the same period, revenues from customers located outside of the United States accounted for 41.6%.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -80.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.26: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.24. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $26.11 (+70.5% upside). Prior stop was $14.24. Stop-loss: $14.24.
Target reached (-11.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).
Redwire Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -36.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover RDW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $16.
What does Redwire Corporation do?Redwire is an integrated space and defense technology company with two segments: Space (spacecraft platforms, solar...
Redwire is an integrated space and defense technology company with two segments: Space (spacecraft platforms, solar arrays, docking systems, microgravity payloads for NASA/ESA/commercial) and Defense Tech (Stalker/Penguin UAS platforms, Octopus gimbal payloads for military ISR). It operates 28 locations in North America and Europe, with a contracted backlog of $411.2M as of December 31, 2025. In fiscal 2025, national security customers accounted for 46.9% of revenue, commercial 31.5%, and civil 21.6%, with 41.6% from international customers.