Skip to main content
QLYSQualys, Inc.Sell5.2·$111.24+0.37%
Open full analysis

Qualys, Inc. (QLYS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%).

Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and SMBs worldwide, with over 10,000 customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue is generated through annual SaaS subscriptions priced on data... Read more

$111.24+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#56 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.06%
Stop $103.45Target $113.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$107.39-3.5%19 analysts
$113.57our TP
$111.24price
$107.39mean
$85
$161

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn29.4%
ROE37.7%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States56%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 2024 and 2023, 56%, 58% and 60%, respectively, of our revenues were derived from customers in the United States based on our customers' billing addresses.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
2.9
52w Position
4.3
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $86.73Resistance $115.89

Price Targets

$103
$114
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QLYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.24 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $103.45. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the QLYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.57 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $103.45. Stop-loss: $103.45.

What are the risks of investing in QLYS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (56.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5.

Is QLYS overvalued or undervalued?

Qualys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QLYS?

30 analysts cover QLYS with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Qualys, Inc. do?Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and...

Qualys provides a cloud-based platform delivering IT security and compliance solutions to enterprises, governments, and SMBs worldwide, with over 10,000 customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100. Revenue is generated through annual SaaS subscriptions priced on data volume; revenues grew to $669.1M in 2025 from $607.6M in 2024. No single customer accounts for more than 10% of revenues.

Related stocks: PICS (PicS N.V.) · GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc) · DLO (DLocal Limited) · KSPI (Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - ) · ZETA (Zeta Global Holdings Corp.)
Home Stocks QLYS

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus47d ago
MarketBeat48d agoEarnings
MarketBeat41d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com41d agoEarnings
MarketBeat41d ago
The Motley Fool50d ago
Yahoo Finance50d ago
Seeking Alpha50d ago
Yahoo Finance42d agoEarnings
TradingView42d ago
FinancialContent42d ago
The Chronicle-Journal42d ago
StockStory43d agoEarnings
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Loading more...