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United Parks & Resorts Inc. (PRKS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.85 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia.

United Parks & Resorts operates 13 theme parks across the US and one licensed UAE park under brands including SeaWorld, Busch Gardens, Aquatica, Discovery Cove, and Sesame Place, with 3 of the top 20 theme parks and 5 of the top 20 water parks in North America. Revenue comes... Read more

$35.85+3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 13 Leisure
Stop $33.24Target $36.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$42.30+18.0%10 analysts
$36.80our TP
$35.85price
$42.30mean
$27
$54

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.85 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.5
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE
Rev Growth-2.8%
Beta1.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$30-16.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicFlorida, California and Virginia
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our revenues are historically generated in the States of Florida, California and Virginia.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 10 days
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.35Resistance $38.10

Price Targets

$33
$37
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (3.0% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.85 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.24. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.80 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $33.24. Stop-loss: $33.24.

What are the risks of investing in PRKS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida, California and Virginia; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is PRKS overvalued or undervalued?

United Parks & Resorts Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRKS?

20 analysts cover PRKS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $42.

What does United Parks & Resorts Inc. do?United Parks & Resorts operates 13 theme parks across the US and one licensed UAE park under brands including SeaWorld,...

United Parks & Resorts operates 13 theme parks across the US and one licensed UAE park under brands including SeaWorld, Busch Gardens, Aquatica, Discovery Cove, and Sesame Place, with 3 of the top 20 theme parks and 5 of the top 20 water parks in North America. Revenue comes from park admissions and in-park food and merchandise purchases.

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