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PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.Sell4.8·$5.60-1.06%
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Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Peloton is a connected fitness company offering Bike, Tread, Row, and app-based workouts to approximately 6 million Members in the U.S., UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria. Revenue comes from Connected Fitness Product hardware sales and recurring All-Access and App... Read more

$5.60+29.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#12 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield16.24%
Stop $5.22Target $7.28(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$8.09+44.5%16 analysts
$7.28our TP
$5.60price
$8.09mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)94.3
P/E (Fwd)23.0
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn0.9%
ROE
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta2.53
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$9+60.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.9
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
3.3
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.89Resistance $6.54

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+30.0%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.22. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the PTON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.28 (+29.8% upside). Prior stop was $5.22. Stop-loss: $5.22.

What are the risks of investing in PTON?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is PTON overvalued or undervalued?

Peloton Interactive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 94.3 (forward 23.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PTON?

27 analysts cover PTON with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Peloton Interactive, Inc. do?Peloton is a connected fitness company offering Bike, Tread, Row, and app-based workouts to approximately 6 million...

Peloton is a connected fitness company offering Bike, Tread, Row, and app-based workouts to approximately 6 million Members in the U.S., UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria. Revenue comes from Connected Fitness Product hardware sales and recurring All-Access and App Membership subscription fees; the company is restructuring after peak-pandemic demand with ongoing cost reduction initiatives.

Related stocks: PLNT (Planet Fitness, Inc.) · YETI (YETI Holdings, Inc.) · HAS (Hasbro, Inc.) · AS (Amer Sports, Inc.) · OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited)
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