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PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.73 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

PPL Corporation is a utility holding company delivering electricity in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island, and natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island, through three regulated segments: Kentucky ($3.8B operating revenues), Pennsylvania ($3.1B), and Rhode Island... Read more

$37.73+0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#15 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $36.18Target $37.92(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$42.13+11.7%15 analysts
$37.92our TP
$37.73price
$42.13mean
$36
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.73 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$28.2B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn13.1%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.68
Dividend3.04%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.41bearish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.4
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Quality Rank
3.1
Value Rank
3.3
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.13Resistance $40.10

Price Targets

$36
$38
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.73 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $36.18. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PPL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.92 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $36.18. Stop-loss: $36.18.

What are the risks of investing in PPL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is PPL overvalued or undervalued?

PPL Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PPL?

21 analysts cover PPL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $42.

What does PPL Corporation do?PPL Corporation is a utility holding company delivering electricity in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode...

PPL Corporation is a utility holding company delivering electricity in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island, and natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island, through three regulated segments: Kentucky ($3.8B operating revenues), Pennsylvania ($3.1B), and Rhode Island ($2.2B) in 2025, serving approximately 3.7 million customers. Profitability is dependent on rate recovery approved by FERC, KPSC, VSCC, PAPUC, and RIPUC across its service territories. The combined regulatory asset base was $28.9B at year-end 2025.

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