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PPLPPL CorporationSell5.3·$35.82+1.02%
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PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. At $35.82, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: coal generation; Concentration risk — Regulatory: KPSC.

PPL Corporation is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to customers in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island, and natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island, through three reportable segments: Kentucky Regulated (LG&E and KU), Pennsylvania... Read more

$35.82+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-5.99%
IncomeYield3.18%(5y avg 3.80%)Payout67.64%
Stop $34.59Target $37.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$41.20+15.0%15 analysts
$37.08our TP
$35.82price
$41.20mean
$48

Sell if holding. At $35.82, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: coal generation; Concentration risk — Regulatory: KPSC. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — PPL Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: coal generation
Concentration risk — Regulatory: KPSC
Thin upside margin: 3.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.0
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$27.0B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn13.1%
ROE8.3%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta0.60
Dividend3.18%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycoal generation
    10-K Item 1: 'Coal| 10,331 | | | 14,738 ... Total (a)| 12,172 | | | 19,754'
  • HIGHregulatoryKPSC
    10-K Item 1: 'LG&E is subject to regulation as a public utility by the KPSC, and certain of its transmission activities are subject to the jurisdiction of the FERC'
  • HIGHregulatoryPAPUC
    10-K Item 1: 'PPL Electric is subject to regulation as a public utility by the PAPUC, and certain of its transmission activities are subject to the jurisdiction of the FERC'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.1
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.22Resistance $36.17

Price Targets

$35
$37
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $35.82, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: coal generation; Concentration risk — Regulatory: KPSC. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.59. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PPL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.08 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $34.59. Stop-loss: $34.59.

What are the risks of investing in PPL?

Concentration risk — Commodity: coal generation; Concentration risk — Regulatory: KPSC; Thin upside margin: 3.4%.

Is PPL overvalued or undervalued?

PPL Corporation trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PPL?

21 analysts cover PPL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $41.

What does PPL Corporation do?PPL Corporation is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to customers in Pennsylvania, Kentucky,...

PPL Corporation is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to customers in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island, and natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island, through three reportable segments: Kentucky Regulated (LG&E and KU), Pennsylvania Regulated (PPL Electric), and Rhode Island Regulated (RIE). Combined operating revenues were approximately $9.1 billion across all segments in 2025.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin)
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