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POWIPower Integrations, Inc.Sell4.9·$49.03
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Power Integrations boasts exceptional free cash flow conversion at 476% of net income and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score, but the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target with negative implied upside, and heavy customer concentration with 81% of revenue from the top ten customers adds meaningful fragility to the earnings outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Customer Geographic Double Concentration↑Improving
  • Analyst Target Exceeded Negative Upside↑Improving
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Power Integrations, Inc. (POWI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $49.03: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%).

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with... Read more

$49.03+24.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#49 of 53 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.69%
IncomeYield1.74%(5y avg 1.06%)Payout193.18%at-risk
Stop $45.60Analyst target $60.99(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst consensus$71.75+46.3%4 analysts
$60.99Analyst target
$49.03price
$71.75mean
$80

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $49.03: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)111.4
P/E (Fwd)26.2
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA41.7
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.53
Dividend1.74%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers, including distributors that resell to OEMs and merchant power supply manufacturers, accounted for approximately 81%, 79% and 80% of net revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational sales (outside U.S.)98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 98% of our net revenue for each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 was generated by sales to customers outside of the U.S.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierEpson, Lapis, X-FAB wafer foundries
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary supply arrangements for the production of wafers are with Epson, Lapis and X-FAB.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Mike Balow appointed as SVP, Worldwide Sales, effective May 4, 2026. Previously served as EVP of sales at onsemi (2021-2025) and Infineon Technologies. No predecessor departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
3.7
Value Rank
3.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.8
Bollinger
4.6
Support Resistance
5.1
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.50Resistance $55.86

Price Targets

$46
$61
A.Upside+24.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $49.03: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $45.60. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the POWI stock price target?

Analyst target: $60.99 (+24.4% upside). Prior stop was $45.60. Stop-loss: $45.60.

What are the risks of investing in POWI?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is POWI overvalued or undervalued?

Power Integrations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 111.4 (forward 26.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWI?

10 analysts cover POWI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Power Integrations, Inc. do?Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to...

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with approximately 98% from international customers in 2025 and top-10 customers representing ~81% of net revenue.

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