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Portland General Electric Co (POR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.61: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.67; Below-average business quality.

Portland General Electric is an Oregon-regulated vertically integrated electric utility serving ~960,000 retail customers across a 4,000 sq mi service area; total retail revenues were ~$3.07B in 2025 (residential 48%, commercial 32%, industrial 18%). Revenue requirements and... Read more

$49.61+8.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#23 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $48.08Target $53.53(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$52.77+6.4%11 analysts
$53.53our TP
$49.61price
$52.77mean
$43
$62

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.61: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC)
Target reached (-7.4% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn8.6%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth7.9%
Beta0.64
Dividend4.09%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C5.67bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicOregon
    10-K Item 1: 'Portland General Electric Company...is engaged in the generation, wholesale purchase and sale, transmission, distribution, and retail sale of electricity to customers in the state of Oregon'
  • HIGHregulatoryPublic Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC)
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company operates as a cost-based, regulated electric utility with revenue requirements and customer prices determined based on the forecasted cost to serve retail customers and a reasonable rate of return as determined by the Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.5
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.57Resistance $54.62

Price Targets

$48
$54
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.61: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $48.08. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.53 (+8.0% upside). Prior stop was $48.08. Stop-loss: $48.08.

What are the risks of investing in POR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Oregon; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC); Target reached (-7.4% upside).

Is POR overvalued or undervalued?

Portland General Electric Co trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POR?

17 analysts cover POR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Portland General Electric Co do?Portland General Electric is an Oregon-regulated vertically integrated electric utility serving ~960,000 retail...

Portland General Electric is an Oregon-regulated vertically integrated electric utility serving ~960,000 retail customers across a 4,000 sq mi service area; total retail revenues were ~$3.07B in 2025 (residential 48%, commercial 32%, industrial 18%). Revenue requirements and customer prices are set by the Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC); PGE also operates under FERC oversight for wholesale and transmission activities. PGE is pursuing an asset acquisition that would expand its service area into Washington state.

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