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PODDInsulet CorporationBuy Wait6.6·$149.70+0.34%
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Insulet Corporation (PODD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $167.43 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); critical SEC filing still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Distributor A, Distributor B, Distributor C; Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform.

Insulet develops, manufactures, and sells the Omnipod tubeless insulin delivery system for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in 25 countries, alongside drug delivery pods for Amgen's Neulasta. Revenue is primarily from Omnipod pods and PDMs sold through wholesalers and... Read more

$149.70+51.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.44%
Entry $167.43(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $153.51Target $218.19(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.9:1
Analyst target$242.43+61.9%23 analysts
$218.19our TP
$149.70price
$242.43mean
$360

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $167.43 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); critical SEC filing still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Distributor A, Distributor B, Distributor C; Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.32, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and SEC filing concern. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Distributor A, Distributor B, Distributor C
Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.0
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$10.4B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE23.0%
Rev Growth33.9%
Beta1.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.70bearish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerDistributor A, Distributor B, Distributor C
    10-K Item 1: 'Distributor A| 27%| | 28%| | 28% Distributor B| 26%| | 26%| | 24% Distributor C| 25%| | 21%| | 19%'
  • HIGHProductOmnipod product platform
    10-K Item 1A: 'We expect to continue to derive nearly all our revenue from our Omnipod product platform'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyAmgen Neulasta Onpro
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our commercialized Drug Delivery revenue consists of sales of a customized version of our product for use in Amgen’s Neulasta Onpro kit under an agreement that expires in December 2028'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-24Item 4.01HIGH
    Insulet dismissed Grant Thornton LLP (GT) as independent auditor after completion of fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 audit. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (PwC) selected as auditor for fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    Insulet entered into severance agreement and release dated February 27, 2026 with Ana M. Chadwick, former CFO. No material terms differ from previously disclosed Executive Severance Plan. Original departure disclosed September 2025.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
5.3
Support Resistance
5.6

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.0
Obv
1.8
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)SEC critical: A.R:R 4.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $140.63Resistance $161.35

Price Targets

$154
$167
$218
A.Upside+45.8%
A.R:R4.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.7%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PODD stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $167.43 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); critical SEC filing still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Distributor A, Distributor B, Distributor C; Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.32, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $218.19 (+45.8%), stop $153.51 (−-2.5%), Setup A.R:R 9.7:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PODD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $218.19 (+51.4% upside). Target $218.19 (+45.8%), stop $153.51 (−-2.5%), Setup A.R:R 9.7:1. Stop-loss: $153.51.

What are the risks of investing in PODD?

Concentration risk — Customer: Distributor A, Distributor B, Distributor C; Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform; Negative momentum.

Is PODD overvalued or undervalued?

Insulet Corporation trades at a P/E of 35.0 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PODD?

34 analysts cover PODD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $242.

What does Insulet Corporation do?Insulet develops, manufactures, and sells the Omnipod tubeless insulin delivery system for people with...

Insulet develops, manufactures, and sells the Omnipod tubeless insulin delivery system for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in 25 countries, alongside drug delivery pods for Amgen's Neulasta. Revenue is primarily from Omnipod pods and PDMs sold through wholesalers and distributors globally; three distributors each accounted for 25-27% of 2025 total revenues.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · DXCM (DexCom, Inc.) · BSX (Boston Scientific Corporation) · LIVN (LivaNova PLC) · MASI (Masimo Corporation)
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