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GMEDGlobus Medical, Inc.Hold6.6·$81.26
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Strong 27% revenue growth, a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging nearly 25% upside surprise, and a 4-to-1 favorable risk/reward combine to make a compelling long-side case, with the primary watch items being a leverage penalty from a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.5 and a current momentum headwind while the longer-term trend remains intact.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth Best In Class Margins→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Favorable Analyst Risk Reward→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Globus Medical, Inc. (GMED) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Globus Medical designs and sells musculoskeletal implants, biologics, spinal cord stimulation systems, and robotic surgical navigation platforms to hospitals and surgery centers. Products are distributed through an exclusive direct and distributor salesforce across 65 countries,... Read more

$81.26+8.1% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.08%
Stop $76.96Analyst target $87.80(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$100.92+24.2%13 analysts
$87.80Analyst target
$81.26price
$100.92mean
$125

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Globus Medical, Inc.

About Globus Medical, Inc.

Globus Medical launched 9 new products in 2025, including the Excelsius XR wearable extended reality navigation headset, and completed the acquisition of Nevro on April 3, 2025, adding the HFX spinal cord stimulation platform for chronic pain treatment. International sales represented approximately 19.4% of total 2025 revenue, with the remainder generated in the United States. The company maintained a direct or distributor sales presence in 65 countries as of December 31, 2025.

The company earns revenue through device sales across two categories: Musculoskeletal Solutions—spanning spinal implants, orthopedic trauma products, arthroplasty systems, spinal cord stimulation, and neuromonitoring services—and Enabling Technologies, which includes the ExcelsiusGPS robotic guidance platform, the Excelsius3D intraoperative imaging system, and the ExcelsiusXR extended reality headset. Products are sold through an exclusive direct sales force and independent distributor networks; sales representatives are typically present in the operating room during U.S. surgeries. Key competitors include Medtronic, DePuy Synthes, Stryker, Zimmer Biomet, and Smith + Nephew, all with substantially greater financial resources. Manufacturing occurs at facilities in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, Massachusetts, and Costa Rica, with a number of products outsourced to third-party suppliers.

Show full overview

The supplier dependency the 10-K identifies is notable: the company relies on a limited number of third-party manufacturers for components and finished products, and cannot quickly substitute replacement suppliers for many critical components due to FDA regulatory requirements, custom-part specifications, and ISO-13485 certification constraints. Allograft tissue for the Osteocel Plus and Osteocel Pro biologic lines is sourced from several tissue banks with no easily substitutable manufacturing pathway. Disruptions to this limited supply base from equipment failure, quality non-compliance, or geopolitical events may impact product availability and revenue.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Globus Medical, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.1%
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$10.9B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn17.0%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$88+7.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicinternational sales19%
    10-K Item 1: 'international sales accounted for approximately 19.4% of our total sales'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of third-party suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on a limited number of third-party suppliers, and the loss of any of these suppliers ... could harm our business'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-04Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved amendment to 2021 Equity Incentive Plan on June 3, 2026, increasing authorized shares by 1,000,000 to 12,000,000 total. Compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    Director John A. DeFord, Ph.D. resigned from the Board effective March 23, 2026. No disagreement with the Company cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.54Resistance $82.02

Price Targets

$77
$88
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GMED stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $87.80 (+8.1%), stop $76.96 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GMED stock price target?

Analyst target: $87.80 (+8.1% upside). Analyst target $87.80 (+8.1%), stop $76.96 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $76.96.

What are the risks of investing in GMED?

Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is GMED overvalued or undervalued?

Globus Medical, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GMED?

23 analysts cover GMED with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Globus Medical, Inc. do?Globus Medical designs and sells musculoskeletal implants, biologics, spinal cord stimulation systems, and robotic...

Globus Medical designs and sells musculoskeletal implants, biologics, spinal cord stimulation systems, and robotic surgical navigation platforms to hospitals and surgery centers. Products are distributed through an exclusive direct and distributor salesforce across 65 countries, with approximately 80.6% of 2025 sales from the United States.

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