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PNC Financial Services Group, I (PNC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $213.14. At $222.43 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $213.14 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve (primary BHC regulator); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (primary bank regulator).

PNC Financial Services is one of the largest diversified U.S. banks with $573.6B in total assets and $440.9B in deposits at year-end 2025, providing retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, and asset management through a coast-to-coast branch network. Revenue comes... Read more

$222.43+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#81 of 142 Banks - Regional
Entry $213.14(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $203.64Target $228.40(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$253.78+14.1%20 analysts
$228.40our TP
$222.43price
$253.78mean
$277

Wait for pullback to $213.14. At $222.43 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $213.14 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve (primary BHC regulator); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (primary bank regulator). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve (primary BHC regulator)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (primary bank regulator)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.0
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$90.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn31.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta0.96
Dividend3.05%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV35%normal
Max Pain$120-46.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFederal Reserve (primary BHC regulator)
    10-K Item 1A: 'with the Federal Reserve as its primary regulator'
  • HIGHregulatoryOCC (primary bank regulator)
    10-K Item 1A: 'PNC Bank is a federally chartered bank, with the OCC as its primary regulator'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan at PNC annual meeting on April 22, 2026; previously approved by Board on March 5, 2026. Covers incentive awards for employees, non-employee directors, and service providers. No officer departure involved.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $209.03Resistance $230.25

Price Targets

$204
$213
$228
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $213.14. At $222.43 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $213.14 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve (primary BHC regulator); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (primary bank regulator). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $228.40 (+2.7%), stop $203.64 (−9.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $228.40 (+7.2% upside). Target $228.40 (+2.7%), stop $203.64 (−9.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $203.64.

What are the risks of investing in PNC?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve (primary BHC regulator); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC (primary bank regulator); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PNC overvalued or undervalued?

PNC Financial Services Group, I trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PNC?

30 analysts cover PNC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $254.

What does PNC Financial Services Group, I do?PNC Financial Services is one of the largest diversified U.S. banks with $573.6B in total assets and $440.9B in...

PNC Financial Services is one of the largest diversified U.S. banks with $573.6B in total assets and $440.9B in deposits at year-end 2025, providing retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, and asset management through a coast-to-coast branch network. Revenue comes from lending, deposit, fee-based, and capital markets services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities. In January 2026, PNC completed its acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company, adding $26.4B in assets and $23.1B in deposits.

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