PulteGroup trades at an attractive forward P/E of 11.0x with 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but is trapped in a death cross technical pattern with revenue declining 12% and a weak overall score of 4.6, making new entry unattractive at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Floor→Stable
- Revenue Decline Growth Concern→Stable
- Death Cross Hard Block→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."),... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-08Recent Developments — PulteGroup, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS PulteGroup to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What to Expect This Season - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Novem Group Acquires Shares of 8,298 PulteGroup, Inc. $PHM - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: PulteGroup (PHM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-07-08T21:14:30Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -12.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $137.29 (+11.7%), stop $114.33 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $137.29 (+11.7% upside). Target $137.29 (+11.7%), stop $114.33 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $114.33.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Negative momentum.
PulteGroup, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
22 analysts cover PHM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $138.
What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder,...
PulteGroup, Inc. is a Michigan corporation organized in 1956, though we date our founding to 1950, when our founder, Bill Pulte, built our first home. Over our history, we have delivered over 875,000 homes. We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States ("U.S."), and our common shares are included in the S&P 500 Index and trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "PHM".