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PHARPharming Group N.V.Sell5.6·$11.21+3.75%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pharming Group is a small-cap biotech below the minimum investable market cap of $1 billion, with declining revenue of -8% but an exceptional Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, strong free cash flow conversion, and analyst targets implying 128% upside if momentum recovers.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Investable Market CapImproving
  • Revenue Decline Momentum WeaknessImproving
  • High Piotroski Cashflow QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.21: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and precision medicines for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's lead product is RUCONEST, a recombinant C1... Read more

$11.21+9.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#71 of 259 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.75%
Stop $10.43Target $12.26(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$34.35+206.4%4 analysts
$12.26our TP
$11.21price
$34.35mean
$39

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.21: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)80.1
P/E (Fwd)36.5
Mkt Cap$793M
EV/EBITDA22.8
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta0.07
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.65Resistance $12.51

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $34.35 vs price $11.21 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.21: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.43. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.26 (+9.4% upside). Prior stop was $10.43. Stop-loss: $10.43.

What are the risks of investing in PHAR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PHAR overvalued or undervalued?

Pharming Group N.V. trades at a P/E of 80.1 (forward 36.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHAR?

14 analysts cover PHAR with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Pharming Group N.V. do?Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and...

Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and precision medicines for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's lead product is RUCONEST, a recombinant C1 esterase inhibitor for the treatment of acute attacks in adult and adolescent patients with acute hereditary angioedema (HAE); and Joenja (leniolisib), an oral small molecule PI3K? inhibitor for the treatment of activated phosphoinositide 3-kinase delta syndrome. It also develops Joenja, an oral small molecule PI3K? inhibitor. It has a development collaboration and license agreement with Novartis. Pharming Group N.V. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Leiden, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.)
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