Skip to main content
PHATPhathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Sell6.8·$6.28
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PHAT's risk score sits below the engine's floor and options positioning signals heavy hedging, but a perfect earnings-beat streak, 104% revenue growth, and an elite Rule of 40 score temper the risk-driven exit signal.

Thesis pillars

  • Risk Below Floor↓Deteriorating
  • Elevated Put Call And Implied Vol↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak With Strong Growth↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PHAT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

Sell(was: Hold)VALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthAI GATE: BLOCKED — 1 material risk, 2 concernsModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $6.28: Concentration risk — Product: VOQUEZNA; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Takeda License.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for gastrointestinal diseases in the United States. It develops VOQUEZNA, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of erosive gastroesophageal... Read more

$6.28+20.5% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#9 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-6.42%
Stop $5.84Resistance target $7.57A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$19.64+212.7%11 analysts
$7.57Resistance target
$6.28price
$19.64mean
$29

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $6.28: Concentration risk — Product: VOQUEZNA; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Takeda License. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news legal. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: VOQUEZNA
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Takeda License
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$508M
EV/EBITDA-21.9
Profit Mgn-41.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth88.0%
Beta0.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV231%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVOQUEZNA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently depend entirely on the success of our approved VOQUEZNA products, and in particular on the success of VOQUEZNA for the treatment of GERD.'
  • HIGHcounterpartyTakeda License
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on the Takeda License to provide us rights to develop and commercialize vonoprazan in the United States, Europe, and Canada.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Volatile — 8.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
News Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
3.5
Short Interest
3.6
Beta
10.0
Elevated put/call: 2.67High IV: 231%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS LEGALMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.01Resistance $7.72

Price Targets

$6
$8
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $19.64 vs price $6.28 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHAT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $6.28: Concentration risk — Product: VOQUEZNA; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Takeda License. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $5.84. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHAT stock price target?

Resistance target: $7.57 (+20.5% upside). Prior stop was $5.84. Stop-loss: $5.84.

What are the risks of investing in PHAT?

Concentration risk — Product: VOQUEZNA; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Takeda License; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Is PHAT overvalued or undervalued?

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHAT?

18 analysts cover PHAT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for...

Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for gastrointestinal diseases in the United States. It develops VOQUEZNA, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of erosive gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and related heartburn in adults; and VOQUEZNA Triple Pak and VOQUEZNA Dual Pak that have completed Phase III clinical trials for treating Helicobacter pylori, as well as VOQUEZNA and vonoprazan for the treatment of heartburn associated with non-erosive GERD and eosinophilic esophagitis in adults and adolescents. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › PHAT

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga3d agoRISKLegal
Benzinga14m agoCONCERNEarnings
Fiscal.ai3d agoCONCERNLegal
GuruFocus92d agoEarnings
TradingKey92d ago
Www.marketscreener.com15h agoEarnings
TipRanks99d agoEarnings
富途牛牛99d ago
Moomoo8d agoAnalyst
Ad-hoc-news.de8d agoEarnings
TradingKey93d ago
TradingKey93d ago
TradingKey91d ago
MarketBeat98d agoEarnings
TradingView7d agoEarnings
Po-news-eg.net96d ago
TradingView5d ago
TradingKey94d ago
TradingKey94d ago
MarketBeat94d ago
Loading more...