PHAT's risk score sits below the engine's floor and options positioning signals heavy hedging, but a perfect earnings-beat streak, 104% revenue growth, and an elite Rule of 40 score temper the risk-driven exit signal.
Thesis pillars
- Risk Below Floor→Stable
- Elevated Put Call And Implied Vol→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak With Strong Growth→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PHAT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Healthcare · Biotechnology
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.07: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.80; Below-average business quality.
Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for gastrointestinal diseases in the United States. It develops VOQUEZNA, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of erosive gastroesophageal... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.07: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.80; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductVOQUEZNA10-K Item 1A: 'We currently depend entirely on the success of our approved VOQUEZNA products, and in particular on the success of VOQUEZNA for the treatment of GERD.'
- HIGHcounterpartyTakeda License10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on the Takeda License to provide us rights to develop and commercialize vonoprazan in the United States, Europe, and Canada.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Volatile — 5.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.07: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.80; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $11.17. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $20.62 (+71.7% upside). Prior stop was $11.17. Stop-loss: $11.17.
Concentration risk — Product: VOQUEZNA; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Takeda License; Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0).
Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover PHAT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $24.
What does Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for...
Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for gastrointestinal diseases in the United States. It develops VOQUEZNA, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of erosive gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and related heartburn in adults; and VOQUEZNA Triple Pak and VOQUEZNA Dual Pak that have completed Phase III clinical trials for treating Helicobacter pylori, as well as VOQUEZNA and vonoprazan for the treatment of heartburn associated with non-erosive GERD and eosinophilic esophagitis in adults and adolescents. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey.