Value
6.0/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 1.7 |
| P/S | 8.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 2.6 |
| PEG | 8.1 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 43.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.82
PHAR · Why this verdict
Why Pharming Group (PHAR) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.7 |
| ROA | 3.3 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 1.7 |
| Current ratio | 8.9 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 5.4 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 478% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Rule of 40: 8 (fail)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
5.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.4 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -8%
Momentum
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.7 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.1 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (4.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 168%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.5 |
| quality rank | 6.5 |
| growth rank | 2.4 |
Technical
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.4 |
| support resistance | 5.0 |
| 52w position | 2.0 |
| gap | 4.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 10.0 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 1.2 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 8.3 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
Catalyst
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:5.1>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:14.2>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
14.23
Upside
+128.1%
Downside
9.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $0.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Risk (lower is worse) at 7.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.6, Sentiment at 7.5, and Value at 6.0; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.6, Technical at 4.1, and Catalyst at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 14.23 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.